McDonald's (MCD): FY26 Q1 earnings call, May 7, 2026

On its May 7, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q1), McDonald's said 7 of the 15 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 15 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each, with timed clips.

Updated

Markets

15 words · 7 settled yes · our count agreed on 15 of 15

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityClipMarket
Supply Chain Yes45✓71%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 16:27, Supply Chain–
Big Arch Yes11✓79%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 10:03, Big Arch–
Competition Yes11✓51%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 25:00, Competition–
Happy Meal Yes11✓44%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 4:46, Happy Meal–
Delivery Yes11✓39%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcriptsHear it 46:21, Delivery–
Hot Honey Yes11✓31%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 9:54, Hot Honey–
McChicken Yes11✓29%transcripts from the transcript modelHear it 11:00, McChicken–
Loyalty No02✓93%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Monopoly No00✓74%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Dividend No00✓66%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Tariff No00✓46%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Revenue No00✓44%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Caviar No00✓12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
DoorDash No00✓12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Buffalo No00✓11%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

9 matches for “McValue”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Chris Kempczinskicompanyprepared · 2:54Hear it 2:48, Chris Kempczinski

…U.S., with unanimous alignment through the franchisee field votes, we recently evolved McValue to include an everyday affordable price menu with individual items under $3,…

Ian Bordencompanyprepared · 9:22Hear it 9:20, Ian Borden

…as the program continued to see positive momentum. Together with the broader McValue platform and full margin promotions, EVMs continued to help drive incrementality. While…

Ian Bordencompanyprepared · 10:34Hear it 10:28, Ian Borden

…With unanimous approval through the franchisee field votes, we launched the revamped McValue platform in mid-April. The new under $3 menu features well-known à la…

Ian Bordencompanyprepared · 11:06Hear it 11:00, Ian Borden

…and $6 McDouble rest of day meal deals that remain on the McValue platform. Together, the under $3 EDAP menu and the meal deals provide…

Ian Bordencompanyprepared · 11:28Hear it 11:22, Ian Borden

…know it may take time to build awareness, but early indicators on McValue's performance since the changes were introduced a couple of weeks ago are…

Where the listed words were said

Ian Bordencompany“Supply Chain” · prepared · 16:29Hear it 16:26, Ian Borden

With respect to food and paper inflation, our supply chain teams, along with our world-class supplier partnerships and hedging strategies, position us well to navigate…

Ian Bordencompany“Big Arch” · prepared · 10:05Hear it 10:04, Ian Borden

While the full margin Big Arch promotion introduced in March generated strong interest and performed in line with our expectations. As Chris noted, we've worked…

Chris Kempczinskicompany“Competition” · qa · 25:02Hear it 24:59, Chris Kempczinski

…declines in terms of perception there. Now, we were still better than competition, but our leadership gap was narrowing. If you look what's happened more…

Chris Kempczinskicompany“Happy Meal” · prepared · 4:48Hear it 4:45, Chris Kempczinski

…and collectibles. We partnered with The Super Mario Galaxy Movie on a Happy Meal tied to the film's release, creating a big family occasion around…

Chris Kempczinskicompany“Delivery” · qa · 46:23Hear it 46:17, Chris Kempczinski

…know, several years is just the growth of digital, the growth of delivery. You know, that means that the kinda customer flows or customer journey…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/mcdonalds:2026-05-07:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=mcdonalds:2026-05-07:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP