Will McDonald's say “Tariff”?
McDonald's did not say “Tariff” on its Aug 4, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 1, 2, 1, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, McDonald's said “Tariff” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 5, 2025 (20%), most recently on Nov 5, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 24% (n=5, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 4 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 9¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
McDonald's
Tariff
- Probability
- 24% · n=5
- Settled
- 1/5 (20%)
- Last calls
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…our financial targets for the year, which include the expected impacts from tariffs currently in place, and remain focused on executing our Accelerating the Arches…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…46.3% adjusted operating margin in 2024. This includes the expected impact from tariffs that are currently in place. However, we're adjusting our full year margin…
…consumer. I think we could all speculate the reasons for that, probably tariffs and the impact that, that might have, questions around employment situation. But…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…financial targets that we outlined in February, which include the impact from tariffs that are currently in place. We expect foreign currency translation to be…
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did McDonald's say “Tariff” on its last earnings call?
- McDonald's did not say “Tariff” on its Aug 4, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 1, 2, 1, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does McDonald's say “Tariff”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, McDonald's said “Tariff” at 1 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 5, 2025 (20%), most recently on Nov 5, 2025.
- What is the probability McDonald's says “Tariff” next time?
- 24%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “McDonald's: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MCD/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mcdonalds&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mcdonalds&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP