Will McDonald's say “Big Arch”?
McDonald's did not say “Big Arch” on its Aug 4, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 7 of its last 8 calls: 7, 2, 3, 5, 1, 2, 1, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, McDonald's said “Big Arch” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 7, 2026 (33%), most recently on May 7, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 50% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 36¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
McDonald's
Big Arch
- Probability
- 50% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last calls
- said in 7 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
While the full margin Big Arch promotion introduced in March generated strong interest and performed in line with our expectations. As Chris noted, we've worked…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…U.S., the debut of McWings in Australia and the introduction of the Big Arch in several markets, each resonating with different customer segments and bringing…
…scores and streamline operations for restaurant crew. We also began to pilot Big Arch about 1.5 years ago, and it's shown strong traction across several…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…in July, providing consumers with predictability and confidence. The launch of the Big Arch burger and breakfast McGriddles added excitement to the menu, while the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did McDonald's say “Big Arch” on its last earnings call?
- McDonald's did not say “Big Arch” on its Aug 4, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 7 of its last 8 calls: 7, 2, 3, 5, 1, 2, 1, 0 times.
- How often does McDonald's say “Big Arch”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, McDonald's said “Big Arch” at 1 of 3 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 7, 2026 (33%), most recently on May 7, 2026.
- What is the probability McDonald's says “Big Arch” next time?
- 50%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “McDonald's: ‘Big Arch’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MCD/words/big-arch (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mcdonalds&word=big%20arch · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mcdonalds&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP