Will McDonald's say “Monopoly”?

McDonald's did not say “Monopoly” on its Aug 4, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 6, 4, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, McDonald's said “Monopoly” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 5, 2025 (40%), most recently on Feb 11, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=5, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

49%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=5Next: Earnings call, Nov 4, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no no
Streak
not said the last 3 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
76¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

McDonald's

Monopoly

Probability
49% · n=5
Settled
2/5 (40%)
Last calls
said in 2 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, May 7, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 11, 2026 · said 4 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

4 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).

Ian BordencompanypreparedIn transcript

…to our strong performance. First, we kicked off the fourth quarter with MONOPOLY, which resulted in one of our largest digital customer acquisition events ever.…

Christopher KempczinskicompanyqaIn transcript

…power of great marketing. We've seen how something like a Minecraft or MONOPOLY or Grinch when you have strong value with that can really be…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 5, 2025 · said 6 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

6 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).

Ian BordencompanypreparedIn transcript

…not a benefit to our third quarter results, in October, we reintroduced MONOPOLY in the U.S. for the first time in nearly a decade, and…

Ian BordencompanypreparedIn transcript

…45 million 90-day active users in the U.S., we're excited about how MONOPOLY is helping more customers discover our strong value offerings available through our…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 6, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 1, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 10, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Oct 29, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 23, 2026MonopolyKalshiNo–
Aug 4, 2026MonopolyKalshiNo0
May 7, 2026MonopolyKalshiNo0
Feb 11, 2026MonopolyKalshiYes4
Nov 5, 2025MonopolyKalshiYes6

Questions

How many times did McDonald's say “Monopoly” on its last earnings call?
McDonald's did not say “Monopoly” on its Aug 4, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 6, 4, 0, 0 times.
How often does McDonald's say “Monopoly”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, McDonald's said “Monopoly” at 2 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 5, 2025 (40%), most recently on Feb 11, 2026.
What is the probability McDonald's says “Monopoly” next time?
49%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “McDonald's: ‘Monopoly’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MCD/words/monopoly (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mcdonalds&word=monopoly · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mcdonalds&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP