Will McDonald's say “Happy Meal”?

McDonald's said “Happy Meal” 1 time on its Aug 4, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 6 of its last 8 calls: 2, 4, 2, 0, 1, 0, 1, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, McDonald's said “Happy Meal” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 5, 2025 (75%), most recently on Aug 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 63% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

63%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=4Next: Earnings call, Nov 4, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
3/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no yes yes
Streak
said the last 2 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
75¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

McDonald's

Happy Meal

Probability
63% · n=4
Settled
3/4 (75%)
Last calls
said in 6 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 4, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Ian Bordencompanyprepared · 12:40Hear it 12:37, Ian Borden In transcript

The market recently extended their EUR 4 Happy Meal component and reintroduced nationally price-pointed meal deals that are resonating with consumers. Turning to the international…

FY26 Q1 earnings call, May 7, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Chris Kempczinskicompanyprepared · 4:48Hear it 4:45, Chris Kempczinski In transcript

…and collectibles. We partnered with The Super Mario Galaxy Movie on a Happy Meal tied to the film's release, creating a big family occasion around…

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 11, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 5, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Christopher KempczinskicompanypreparedIn transcript

…momentum supported by strong local marketing and innovation. This included several exciting Happy Meal campaigns that drove significant traffic and social engagement, highlighting the power…

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 6, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 1, 2025 · said 2 times (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 10, 2025 · said 4 times (counts)

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Oct 29, 2024 · said 2 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 4 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 4, 2026Happy MealKalshiYes1
May 7, 2026Happy MealKalshiYes1
Feb 11, 2026Happy MealKalshiNo0
Nov 5, 2025Happy MealKalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did McDonald's say “Happy Meal” on its last earnings call?
McDonald's said “Happy Meal” 1 time on its Aug 4, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 6 of its last 8 calls: 2, 4, 2, 0, 1, 0, 1, 1 times.
How often does McDonald's say “Happy Meal”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, McDonald's said “Happy Meal” at 3 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 5, 2025 (75%), most recently on Aug 4, 2026.
What is the probability McDonald's says “Happy Meal” next time?
63%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “McDonald's: ‘Happy Meal’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MCD/words/happy-meal (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mcdonalds&word=happy%20meal · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mcdonalds&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP