Will McDonald's say “Dividend”?
McDonald's did not say “Dividend” on its Aug 4, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 3, 2, 0, 0, 3, 1, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, McDonald's said “Dividend” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 5, 2025 (50%), most recently on Feb 11, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=4, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/4Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 77¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
McDonald's
Dividend
- Probability
- 43% · n=4
- Settled
- 2/4 (50%)
- Last calls
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…well as investments in technology, digital and GBS. Second, we prioritize our dividend, which has increased in each of the last 49 years. And third,…
Counts: company speakers + operator
3 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…Second, we return remaining free cash flow to shareholders over time through dividends and share repurchases. In line with investing in the business, we believe…
…to capital returns, in October, we announced a 5% increase in our dividend, which is our 49th consecutive year of dividend increases. That's a testament…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
2 counted (2 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…we returned $7.7 billion of cash to shareholders through a combination of dividends and share buybacks. We remain committed to returning all excess free cash…
…well as investments in technology, digital, and GBS. Second, to prioritize our dividend, and third, to repurchase shares with remaining free cash flow over time.…
Every settled listing
newest first · 4 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did McDonald's say “Dividend” on its last earnings call?
- McDonald's did not say “Dividend” on its Aug 4, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 4 of its last 8 calls: 3, 2, 0, 0, 3, 1, 0, 0 times.
- How often does McDonald's say “Dividend”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, McDonald's said “Dividend” at 2 of 4 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Nov 5, 2025 (50%), most recently on Feb 11, 2026.
- What is the probability McDonald's says “Dividend” next time?
- 43%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=4). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “McDonald's: ‘Dividend’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/MCD/words/dividend (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=mcdonalds&word=dividend · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=mcdonalds&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP