Palantir (PLTR): FY26 Q1 earnings call, May 4, 2026

On its May 4, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q1), Palantir said 8 of the 17 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 17 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

17 words · 8 settled yes · our count agreed on 17 of 17

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Revenue guidance Yes55✓72%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Foundry Yes33✓91%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Partnership Yes33✓48%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
International Yes22✓90%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
USDA Yes22✓13%transcripts from the transcript model–
Warp Speed Yes11✓85%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Israel Yes11✓37%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Commercial Growth Yes11✓21%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Lethal No00✓75%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Healthcare No00✓64%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Iran / Iranian No00✓19%transcripts from the transcript model–
Automotive No00✓19%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Polymarket No00✓13%transcripts from the transcript model–
Stellantis No00✓13%transcripts from the transcript model–
Gotham Platform No00✓10%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Nvidia No00✓10%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Government Contract No00✓9%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

17 matches for “Government”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Ryan Taylorcompanyprepared

…our support of manufacturing processes will transform existential programs for the U.S. government. In fact, we've already seen the government step in to transition and…

Ryan Taylorcompanyprepared

…and shield agricultural programs from fraud, abuse, and foreign adversary influence. In government and commercial, Palantir is transforming how load-bearing institutions operate and how they…

Shyam Sankarcompanyprepared

…where every agent action is governed, attributed, and auditable. Turning to U.S. government, on the Foxhole side, Maven met its moment across real-world events in…

David Glazercompanyprepared

…in the 1st quarter. Our U.S. commercial business grew 133% YoY and 18% sequentially, and our U.S. government business grew 84% YoY and 21% sequentially.

David Glazercompanyprepared

…exceptional growth even understates our U.S. commercial momentum. As Ryan noted, we had a successful U.S. commercial customer program transition to a U.S. government customer.

Where the listed words were said

David Glazercompany“Revenue guidance” · prepared

…2026 revenue guidance from last quarter and our largest ever full year revenue guidance raise. Turning to our global top-line results. First quarter revenue grew…

Shyam Sankarcompany“Foundry” · prepared

…the need for one. Thomas Cavanagh Construction, 97% of their employees use Foundry every day, and every other piece of software must now justify its…

Ryan Taylorcompany“Partnership” · prepared

…where we are revamping the end-to-end mortgage process with AIP, the Moder chairman stated, quote, "This strategic partnership will reshape the future of our industry.

David Glazercompany“International” · prepared

First quarter international commercial revenue grew 26% YoY and 5% sequentially to $179 million. Revenue from strategic commercial contracts was $3 million for the quarter,…

Shyam Sankarcompany“Warp Speed” · prepared

…we have surged resources from our commercial business. This is exactly what Warp Speed was built for, modernized American manufacturing, and we're doing just that…

Alex Karpcompany“Israel” · qa

…up and say, "How can you do all this important work in Israel or the Department of Defense or other places?" Even though we've powered…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/palantir:2026-05-04:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=palantir:2026-05-04:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP