Will Palantir say “Lethal”?

Palantir did not say “Lethal” on its Aug 3, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 6 of its last 8 calls: 2, 1, 1, 1, 3, 1, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Palantir said “Lethal” on 4 of 6 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 5, 2025 (67%), most recently on Feb 2, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 49% (n=6, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

49%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=6Next: Earnings call, Nov 2, 2026 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
4/6Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
30¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Palantir

Lethal

Probability
49% · n=6
Settled
4/6 (67%)
Last calls
said in 6 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Aug 3, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, May 4, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Feb 2, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Alexander KarpcompanyqaIn transcript

…we believe is the noble side of the West, which means being lethal on the front end, meaning outside against adversaries if necessary, hopefully, adversaries…

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Nov 4, 2025 · said 3 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

3 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A).

Shyam SankarcompanypreparedIn transcript

…enabling the data-driven decision-making that continues to make our army the most lethal in the world. This directive will enable the Army to rapidly sunset…

Alexander KarpcompanyqaIn transcript

…specific nature of their business that makes them particular and valuable and lethal and we empower that. And how do we participate in that? Unlike…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Aug 4, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Alexander C. KarpcompanyqaIn transcript

…save them expenses or we will make their soldiers safer and more lethal. And they believe it because they've heard it from someone they trust…

FY25 Q1 earnings call, May 5, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Feb 3, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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FY24 Q3 earnings call, Nov 4, 2024 · said 2 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 6 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Aug 3, 2026LethalKalshiNo0
May 4, 2026LethalKalshiNo0
Feb 2, 2026LethalKalshiYes1
Nov 4, 2025LethalKalshiYes3
Aug 4, 2025LethalKalshiYes1
May 5, 2025LethalKalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did Palantir say “Lethal” on its last earnings call?
Palantir did not say “Lethal” on its Aug 3, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 6 of its last 8 calls: 2, 1, 1, 1, 3, 1, 0, 0 times.
How often does Palantir say “Lethal”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Palantir said “Lethal” on 4 of 6 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 5, 2025 (67%), most recently on Feb 2, 2026.
What is the probability Palantir says “Lethal” next time?
49%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=6). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Palantir: ‘Lethal’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/PLTR/words/lethal (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=palantir&word=lethal · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=palantir&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP