Will Palantir say “Iran / Iranian”?
Palantir did not say “Iran / Iranian” on its Aug 3, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Palantir did not say “Iran / Iranian” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 12% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 20¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Palantir
Iran / Iranian
- Probability
- 12% · n=2
- Settled
- 0/2 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…are in Ukraine, Russia is providing satellite intelligence to the Houthis and Iran is launching ballistic missiles at allies. We are investing aggressively to expand…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | Iran / Iranian |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| May 4, 2026 | Iran / Iranian | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did Palantir say “Iran / Iranian” on its last earnings call?
- Palantir did not say “Iran / Iranian” on its Aug 3, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 1, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Palantir say “Iran / Iranian”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Palantir did not say “Iran / Iranian” on any of the 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 4, 2026.
- What is the probability Palantir says “Iran / Iranian” next time?
- 12%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Palantir: ‘Iran / Iranian’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/PLTR/words/iran-or-iranian (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=palantir&word=iran%20%2F%20iranian · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=palantir&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP