Will Palantir say “Israel”?
Palantir did not say “Israel” on its Aug 3, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 1, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Palantir said “Israel” on 1 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 4, 2025 (33%), most recently on May 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 36% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 35¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Palantir
Israel
- Probability
- 36% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
- Last calls
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…up and say, "How can you do all this important work in Israel or the Department of Defense or other places?" Even though we've powered…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…see in the Arab and non-Arab Middle East, so Arab countries in Israel, you see adoption, you see wide-scale adoption in China, and you see…
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…And we support -- we're at ICE and we're -- we've supported Israel. Okay. These are very controversies. I don't know why this is all…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Palantir say “Israel” on its last earnings call?
- Palantir did not say “Israel” on its Aug 3, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 1, 1, 0 times.
- How often does Palantir say “Israel”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Palantir said “Israel” on 1 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Aug 4, 2025 (33%), most recently on May 4, 2026.
- What is the probability Palantir says “Israel” next time?
- 36%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Palantir: ‘Israel’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/PLTR/words/israel (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=palantir&word=israel · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=palantir&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP