Will Palantir say “Government Contract”?
Palantir did not say “Government Contract” on its Aug 3, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), or on any of its last 8 calls. As of Oct 24, 2026, Palantir did not say “Government Contract” on any of the 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 4, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 9% (n=5, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no no no no
- Streak
- not said the last 5 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 10¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Palantir
Government Contract
- Probability
- 9% · n=5
- Settled
- 0/5 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | Government Contract |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| May 4, 2026 | Government Contract | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Feb 2, 2026 | Government Contract | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Government Contract |  Polymarket | No | 0 |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Government Contract | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Aug 4, 2025 | Government contract | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did Palantir say “Government Contract” on its last earnings call?
- Palantir did not say “Government Contract” on its Aug 3, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), or on any of its last 8 calls.
- How often does Palantir say “Government Contract”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Palantir did not say “Government Contract” on any of the 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 4, 2025.
- What is the probability Palantir says “Government Contract” next time?
- 9%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Palantir: ‘Government Contract’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/PLTR/words/government-contract (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=palantir&word=government%20contract · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=palantir&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP