Will Palantir say “Commercial Growth”?
Palantir did not say “Commercial Growth” on its Aug 3, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 1, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Palantir said “Commercial Growth” on 2 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 4, 2025 (40%), most recently on May 4, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 30% (n=5, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 2/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 20¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Palantir
Commercial Growth
- Probability
- 30% · n=5
- Settled
- 2/5 (40%)
- Last calls
- said in 2 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (1 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
Absent this transition, U.S. commercial growth would have been 143% YoY and 22% sequentially. In Q1, we closed our third consecutive quarter of over $1…
Counts: company speakers + operator
1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…normal enterprise company at our base should not have over 100% U.S. commercial growth should not have 77% growth in the U.S. And by the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | Commercial Growth |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| May 4, 2026 | Commercial Growth | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Feb 2, 2026 | Commercial Growth | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Commercial Growth |  Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Commercial Growth | Kalshi | Yes | 1 |
| Aug 4, 2025 | Commercial growth | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did Palantir say “Commercial Growth” on its last earnings call?
- Palantir did not say “Commercial Growth” on its Aug 3, 2026 call (FY26 Q2); it said it on 2 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 1, 0 times.
- How often does Palantir say “Commercial Growth”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Palantir said “Commercial Growth” on 2 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 4, 2025 (40%), most recently on May 4, 2026.
- What is the probability Palantir says “Commercial Growth” next time?
- 30%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Palantir: ‘Commercial Growth’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/PLTR/words/commercial-growth (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=palantir&word=commercial%20growth · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=palantir&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP