Will Palantir say “Revenue Guidance”?
Palantir said “Revenue Guidance” 6 times on its Aug 3, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 6 of its last 8 calls: 3, 0, 4, 6, 5, 0, 5, 6 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Palantir said “Revenue Guidance” on 4 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 4, 2025 (80%), most recently on Aug 3, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 83% (n=5, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 4/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes no yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 85¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Palantir
Revenue Guidance
- Probability
- 83% · n=5
- Settled
- 4/5 (80%)
- Last calls
- said in 6 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
6 counted (5 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).
…for our sovereign AI capabilities, we are raising our full-year U.S. Commercial revenue guidance to in excess of $3.424 billion, representing a growth rate of…
…full-year 2026 revenue guidance from last quarter, and our largest ever full-year revenue guidance raise. Turning to our global top-line results. Q2 revenue grew 93%…
Counts: company speakers + operator
5 counted (5 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…continued strength in the U.S., we are raising our full year 2026 revenue guidance midpoint to $7.656 billion, representing 71% growth YoY, a 10-point increase…
…billion and $1.067 billion. For full year 2026, we are raising our revenue guidance to between $7.650 billion and $7.662 billion. We are raising our…
Counts: company speakers + operator
5 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 5 in Q&A).
…guide and 61% growth year-over-year. We're also raising our full year 2025 revenue guidance midpoint to $4.398 billion, representing a 53% year-over-year growth rate and…
Every settled listing
newest first · 6 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | Revenue Guidance |  Kalshi | Yes | 6 |
| May 4, 2026 | Revenue guidance | Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
| Feb 2, 2026 | Revenue guidance | Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Revenue guidance |  Polymarket | Yes | 5 |
| Nov 4, 2025 | Revenue guidance | Kalshi | Yes | 5 |
| Aug 4, 2025 | Revenue guidance | Kalshi | Yes | 6 |
Questions
- How many times did Palantir say “Revenue Guidance” on its last earnings call?
- Palantir said “Revenue Guidance” 6 times on its Aug 3, 2026 call (FY26 Q2), and on 6 of its last 8 calls: 3, 0, 4, 6, 5, 0, 5, 6 times.
- How often does Palantir say “Revenue Guidance”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Palantir said “Revenue Guidance” on 4 of 5 calls with a settled Kalshi or Polymarket mention market since Aug 4, 2025 (80%), most recently on Aug 3, 2026.
- What is the probability Palantir says “Revenue Guidance” next time?
- 83%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Palantir: ‘Revenue Guidance’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/PLTR/words/revenue-guidance (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=palantir&word=revenue%20guidance · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=palantir&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP