Palantir (PLTR): FY26 Q1 earnings call, May 4, 2026

On its May 4, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q1), Palantir said 8 of the 17 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 17 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

17 words · 8 settled yes · our count agreed on 17 of 17

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Revenue guidance Yes55✓72%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Foundry Yes33✓91%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Partnership Yes33✓48%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
International Yes22✓90%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
USDA Yes22✓13%transcripts from the transcript model–
Warp Speed Yes11✓85%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Israel Yes11✓37%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Commercial Growth Yes11✓21%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Lethal No00✓75%n=4+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Healthcare No00✓64%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Iran / Iranian No00✓19%transcripts from the transcript model–
Automotive No00✓19%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Polymarket No00✓13%transcripts from the transcript model–
Stellantis No00✓13%transcripts from the transcript model–
Gotham Platform No00✓10%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Nvidia No00✓10%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Government Contract No00✓9%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

6 matches for “AI Platform”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Ryan Taylorcompanyprepared

…upon which the West depends know or will soon know that our AI platforms are the indispensable means of delivering their must-win operations. An upshot…

David Glazercompanyprepared

…triple-digit growth for the 1st time, driven by accelerating demand for our AI platform. Revenue in our U.S. business grew 104% YoY and 19% sequentially…

David Glazercompanyprepared

…commercial TCV bookings in the first quarter, representing 42% growth YoY. Our AI platform dominates the U.S. markets as the only real choice for deploying…

David Glazercompanyprepared

…in existing programs and new awards reflecting the growing demand for our AI Platform in Government. First quarter international Government revenue grew 51% YoY and…

David Glazercompanyprepared

…of last year as load-bearing institutions continue to turn to Palantir's battle-tested AI platform. As net dollar retention does not include revenue from new customers…

Where the listed words were said

David Glazercompany“Revenue guidance” · prepared

…continued strength in the U.S., we are raising our full year 2026 revenue guidance midpoint to $7.656 billion, representing 71% growth YoY, a 10-point increase…

Shyam Sankarcompany“Foundry” · prepared

…the need for one. Thomas Cavanagh Construction, 97% of their employees use Foundry every day, and every other piece of software must now justify its…

Ryan Taylorcompany“Partnership” · prepared

…where we are revamping the end-to-end mortgage process with AIP, the Moder chairman stated, quote, "This strategic partnership will reshape the future of our industry.

David Glazercompany“International” · prepared

First quarter international commercial revenue grew 26% YoY and 5% sequentially to $179 million. Revenue from strategic commercial contracts was $3 million for the quarter,…

Ryan Taylorcompany“USDA” · prepared

On the civil side, the USDA awarded Palantir a contract of up to $300 million last month to provide USDA with capabilities to support American…

Shyam Sankarcompany“Warp Speed” · prepared

…we have surged resources from our commercial business. This is exactly what Warp Speed was built for, modernized American manufacturing, and we're doing just that…

Alex Karpcompany“Israel” · qa

…up and say, "How can you do all this important work in Israel or the Department of Defense or other places?" Even though we've powered…

David Glazercompany“Commercial Growth” · prepared

Absent this transition, U.S. commercial growth would have been 143% YoY and 22% sequentially. In Q1, we closed our third consecutive quarter of over $1…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/palantir:2026-05-04:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=palantir:2026-05-04:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP