Alaska Air (ALK): FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 21, 2026
On its Apr 21, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q1), Alaska Air said 6 of the 13 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with 12 of 13 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
UpdatedMarkets
13 words · 6 settled yes · our count agreed on 12 of 13- Kalshi: company speakers + operator
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amazon | Yes | 4 | 5 | ✓ | 68%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Headwind | Yes | 4 | 8 | ✓ | 66%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Oneworld | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | 56%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Starlink | Yes | 3 | 3 | ✓ | 44%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Boeing | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 83%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Oil | Yes | 1 | 1 | ✓ | 30%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | No | 1 | 1 | ✗ | 35%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 56%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Tailwind | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 50%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Iceland | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 34%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Coachella | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 16%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Iran | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 16%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
| Tariff | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 16%transcripts from the transcript model | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsSpeaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.
8 matches for “Headwind”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
…first quarter was resilient despite the volatile macro backdrop and material demand headwinds uniquely impacting our spring break revenue given our network. Specifically, we experienced…
…the crew training costs for ramp-in of our 787 international flying, a headwind year over year given gains on the sale of our 737-900 fleet…
…be guiding to a solidly profitable quarter. And absent the transitory Hawaii headwind to RASK, we believe our unit revenue trends are as strong as…
…there are a lot of initiatives that are impacting that, plus some headwinds in Hawaii, which you laid out. I guess the question is, if…
…cost trajectory. I realize you called out a fair bit of near-term headwinds. I am just trying to understand how those potentially roll off, and…
Where the listed words were said
…in our business. We're also pleased to have reached an agreement with Amazon that eliminates losses under the legacy Hawaiian terms and creates mutual value…
…entire fleet. Along with the PSS cutover, Hawaiian Airlines has officially joined oneworld, expanding benefits for our loyal guests in Hawaii, attracting new oneworld guests…
…higher premium revenue. Our entire regional fleet is now retrofitted with free Starlink Wi-Fi and Boeing 737 installations are underway, further enhancing our end-to-end guest…
…as I can. We obviously are not the absolute expert on global oil supplies or refineries. We do understand our markets really well and our…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/alaska-air:2026-04-21:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=alaska-air:2026-04-21:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP