Will Alaska Air say “Shutdown / Shut Down”?
Alaska Air did not say “Shutdown / Shut Down” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 7, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Alaska Air did not say “Shutdown / Shut Down” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceAlaska Air
Shutdown / Shut Down
- Probability
- 41% · n=1
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last calls
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)
7 counted (7 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).
…the IT outage, elevated fuel costs and the impact from the government shutdown. In the end, we've delivered a better cost result and benefited from…
…industry's most difficult year-over-year comparisons in addition to contending with a government shutdown. As we shared in our investor update back in early December, the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2026 | Shutdown / Shut Down | No | 0 |
Questions
- How many times did Alaska Air say “Shutdown / Shut Down” on its last earnings call?
- Alaska Air did not say “Shutdown / Shut Down” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 7, 0, 0, 0 times.
- How often does Alaska Air say “Shutdown / Shut Down”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Alaska Air did not say “Shutdown / Shut Down” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Alaska Air says “Shutdown / Shut Down” next time?
- 41%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Alaska Air: ‘Shutdown / Shut Down’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/ALK/words/shut-down-or-shutdown (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=alaska-air&word=shut%20down%20%2F%20shutdown · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=alaska-air&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP