Will Alaska Air say “Shutdown / Shut Down”?

Alaska Air did not say “Shutdown / Shut Down” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 7, 0, 0, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Alaska Air did not say “Shutdown / Shut Down” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 41% (n=1, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

41%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=1counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Alaska Air

Shutdown / Shut Down

Probability
41% · n=1
Settled
0/1 (0%)
Last calls
said in 1 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 21, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 22, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 21, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 23, 2026 · said 7 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

7 counted (7 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Benito MinicuccicompanypreparedIn transcript

…the IT outage, elevated fuel costs and the impact from the government shutdown. In the end, we've delivered a better cost result and benefited from…

Andrew HarrisoncompanypreparedIn transcript

…industry's most difficult year-over-year comparisons in addition to contending with a government shutdown. As we shared in our investor update back in early December, the…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 24, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 24, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 23, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q2 earnings call, Jul 18, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Apr 21, 2026Shutdown / Shut DownKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did Alaska Air say “Shutdown / Shut Down” on its last earnings call?
Alaska Air did not say “Shutdown / Shut Down” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 7, 0, 0, 0 times.
How often does Alaska Air say “Shutdown / Shut Down”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Alaska Air did not say “Shutdown / Shut Down” on the only call with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Apr 21, 2026.
What is the probability Alaska Air says “Shutdown / Shut Down” next time?
41%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Alaska Air: ‘Shutdown / Shut Down’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/ALK/words/shut-down-or-shutdown (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=alaska-air&word=shut%20down%20%2F%20shutdown · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=alaska-air&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP