Alaska Air (ALK)

EarningsTranscriptsUpdated

As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 41 word markets on Alaska Air’s earnings calls since 2026, on 19 different words. Next call: Jan 22, 2027 (12 words listed).

Next: Earnings call ·

12 words listed · Occasion page

Who counts: Kalshi: company speakers + operator

Kalshi

Alaska Air: the words listed for Fri, Jan 22, how often each was said on past occasions, and the probability for this one
WordQ2’24Jul '24Q4’24Jan '25Q1’25Apr '25Q2’25Jul '25Q4’25year agoQ1’26Apr '26Q2’26Jul '26Q3’26last callTrendLast 8ScriptedAll-timeProbabilityMarket
Cargo0 times: Cargo, Q2’24 Jul '241 time: Cargo, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said2 times: Cargo, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said10 times: Cargo, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said3 times: Cargo, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said5 times: Cargo, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said11 times: Cargo, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said7 times: Cargo, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as saidrising7/888%6/875%19/6728%92%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts48¢ Kalshi
Headwind4 times: Headwind, Q2’24 Jul '24, counts as said0 times: Headwind, Q4’24 Jan '251 time: Headwind, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said1 time: Headwind, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said2 times: Headwind, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said4 times: Headwind, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said5 times: Headwind, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said6 times: Headwind, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as saidrising7/888%5/862%44/6766%89%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts48¢ Kalshi
Atmos0 times: Atmos, Q2’24 Jul '240 times: Atmos, Q4’24 Jan '250 times: Atmos, Q1’25 Apr '250 times: Atmos, Q2’25 Jul '258 times: Atmos, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said10 times: Atmos, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said7 times: Atmos, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said2 times: Atmos, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as saidrising4/850%3/838%4/676%88%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts91¢ Kalshi
Boeing4 times: Boeing, Q2’24 Jul '24, counts as said2 times: Boeing, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said2 times: Boeing, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said4 times: Boeing, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said3 times: Boeing, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said1 time: Boeing, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said2 times: Boeing, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said1 time: Boeing, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as saidfalling8/8100%7/888%57/6785%86%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts88¢ Kalshi
Amazon0 times: Amazon, Q2’24 Jul '242 times: Amazon, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said1 time: Amazon, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said3 times: Amazon, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said1 time: Amazon, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said4 times: Amazon, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said1 time: Amazon, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said2 times: Amazon, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as saidrising7/888%5/862%11/6716%83%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts48¢ Kalshi
Oneworld6 times: Oneworld, Q2’24 Jul '24, counts as said1 time: Oneworld, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said0 times: Oneworld, Q1’25 Apr '251 time: Oneworld, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said1 time: Oneworld, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said4 times: Oneworld, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said1 time: Oneworld, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said2 times: Oneworld, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as saidfalling7/888%4/850%19/6728%83%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts91¢ Kalshi
Starlink0 times: Starlink, Q2’24 Jul '240 times: Starlink, Q4’24 Jan '250 times: Starlink, Q1’25 Apr '250 times: Starlink, Q2’25 Jul '253 times: Starlink, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said3 times: Starlink, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said4 times: Starlink, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said2 times: Starlink, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as saidrising4/850%3/838%4/676%82%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts47¢ Kalshi
Oil / Gas / Gasoline0 times: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Q2’24 Jul '241 time: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said0 times: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Q1’25 Apr '250 times: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Q2’25 Jul '250 times: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Q4’25 Jan '261 time: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said0 times: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Q2’26 Jul '261 time: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as saidsteady3/838%0/80%32/6748%54%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts78¢ Kalshi
AI / Artificial Intelligence0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q2’24 Jul '240 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q4’24 Jan '250 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q1’25 Apr '252 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q4’25 Jan '261 time: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q2’26 Jul '262 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as saidrising3/838%1/812%5/677%49%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts80¢ Kalshi
Premium Reserve0 times: Premium Reserve, Q2’24 Jul '240 times: Premium Reserve, Q4’24 Jan '250 times: Premium Reserve, Q1’25 Apr '250 times: Premium Reserve, Q2’25 Jul '250 times: Premium Reserve, Q4’25 Jan '260 times: Premium Reserve, Q1’26 Apr '260 times: Premium Reserve, Q2’26 Jul '261 time: Premium Reserve, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as saidrising1/812%0/80%1/671%41%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts82¢ Kalshi
Tailwind2 times: Tailwind, Q2’24 Jul '24, counts as said1 time: Tailwind, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said1 time: Tailwind, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said1 time: Tailwind, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said0 times: Tailwind, Q4’25 Jan '260 times: Tailwind, Q1’26 Apr '261 time: Tailwind, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said0 times: Tailwind, Q3’26 Oct '26falling5/862%1/812%28/6742%32%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts12¢ Kalshi
Tariff0 times: Tariff, Q2’24 Jul '240 times: Tariff, Q4’24 Jan '250 times: Tariff, Q1’25 Apr '250 times: Tariff, Q2’25 Jul '250 times: Tariff, Q4’25 Jan '260 times: Tariff, Q1’26 Apr '260 times: Tariff, Q2’26 Jul '261 time: Tariff, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as saidrising1/812%0/80%1/671%32%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts82¢ Kalshi
  • times said on that call
  • counted as said (ring)
  • no call
  • probability next time, with n
  • Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
Last N
of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
Trend
how the count moved over these calls
Scripted
calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
All-time
every call on file
Probability
the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 22, 2026 22:11 UTC.

Every word

1–7 of 7, most settled first
Alaska Air: every word with settled markets, most settled first
WordQ2’24Jul '24Q4’24Jan '25Q1’25Apr '25Q2’25Jul '25Q4’25Jan '26Q1’26Apr '26Q2’26Jul '26Q3’26last callTrendLast 8ScriptedAll-timeProbability
Iceland0 times: Iceland, Q2’24 Jul '240 times: Iceland, Q4’24 Jan '250 times: Iceland, Q1’25 Apr '250 times: Iceland, Q2’25 Jul '251 time: Iceland, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said0 times: Iceland, Q1’26 Apr '260 times: Iceland, Q2’26 Jul '260 times: Iceland, Q3’26 Oct '26steady1/812%1/812%3/674%17%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Oil0 times: Oil, Q2’24 Jul '241 time: Oil, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said0 times: Oil, Q1’25 Apr '250 times: Oil, Q2’25 Jul '250 times: Oil, Q4’25 Jan '261 time: Oil, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said0 times: Oil, Q2’26 Jul '261 time: Oil, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as saidsteady3/838%0/80%32/6748%43%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Iran / Middle Eastnever said0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q2’24 Jul '240 times: Iran / Middle East, Q4’24 Jan '250 times: Iran / Middle East, Q1’25 Apr '250 times: Iran / Middle East, Q2’25 Jul '250 times: Iran / Middle East, Q4’25 Jan '260 times: Iran / Middle East, Q1’26 Apr '260 times: Iran / Middle East, Q2’26 Jul '260 times: Iran / Middle East, Q3’26 Oct '26steady0/80%0/80%0/670%11%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
New Zealandnever said0 times: New Zealand, Q2’24 Jul '240 times: New Zealand, Q4’24 Jan '250 times: New Zealand, Q1’25 Apr '250 times: New Zealand, Q2’25 Jul '250 times: New Zealand, Q4’25 Jan '260 times: New Zealand, Q1’26 Apr '260 times: New Zealand, Q2’26 Jul '260 times: New Zealand, Q3’26 Oct '26steady0/80%0/80%0/670%11%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Coachellanever said0 times: Coachella, Q2’24 Jul '240 times: Coachella, Q4’24 Jan '250 times: Coachella, Q1’25 Apr '250 times: Coachella, Q2’25 Jul '250 times: Coachella, Q4’25 Jan '260 times: Coachella, Q1’26 Apr '260 times: Coachella, Q2’26 Jul '260 times: Coachella, Q3’26 Oct '26steady0/80%0/80%0/670%12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Irannever said0 times: Iran, Q2’24 Jul '240 times: Iran, Q4’24 Jan '250 times: Iran, Q1’25 Apr '250 times: Iran, Q2’25 Jul '250 times: Iran, Q4’25 Jan '260 times: Iran, Q1’26 Apr '260 times: Iran, Q2’26 Jul '260 times: Iran, Q3’26 Oct '26steady0/80%0/80%0/670%12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
Shutdown / Shut Down0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q2’24 Jul '240 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q4’24 Jan '250 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q1’25 Apr '250 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q2’25 Jul '257 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q1’26 Apr '260 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q2’26 Jul '260 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q3’26 Oct '26rising1/812%1/812%4/676%41%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts
What the columns mean
Last N
of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
Trend
how the count moved over these calls
Scripted
calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
All-time
every call on file
Probability
the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history

Appearances and settled record

latest 12

Our transcript counts matched how 40 of 41 settled words resolved (97.6%). How we check.

Recent appearances and how their listed words settled
DateAppearanceTextWordsSettledOur count agreed
Oct 21, 2026Earnings call FY26 Q3Speaker-labelled transcript1511 yes · 4 no15/15 (100%)
Jul 22, 2026Earnings call FY26 Q2Speaker-labelled transcript137 yes · 6 no13/13 (100%)
Apr 21, 2026Earnings call FY26 Q1Speaker-labelled transcript136 yes · 7 no12/13 (92%)
Jan 23, 2026Earnings call FY25 Q4Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Jul 24, 2025Earnings call FY25 Q2Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Apr 24, 2025Earnings call FY25 Q1Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Jan 23, 2025Earnings call FY24 Q4Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Jul 18, 2024Earnings call FY24 Q2Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Apr 18, 2024Earnings call FY24 Q1Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Jan 25, 2024Earnings call FY23 Q4Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Oct 19, 2023Earnings call FY23 Q3Speaker-labelled transcript0––
Jul 25, 2023Earnings call FY23 Q2Speaker-labelled transcript0––

Citeparrot.markets, “Alaska Air (ALK): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/ALK (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/alaska-air · words: /api/v1/history?entity=alaska-air · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP