Alaska Air (ALK)
As of Oct 24, 2026, Kalshi has settled 41 word markets on Alaska Air’s earnings calls since 2026, on 19 different words. Next call: Jan 22, 2027 (12 words listed).
| Word | Q2’24Jul '24 | Q4’24Jan '25 | Q1’25Apr '25 | Q2’25Jul '25 | Q4’25year ago | Q1’26Apr '26 | Q2’26Jul '26 | Q3’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cargo | 0 times: Cargo, Q2’24 Jul '24 | 1 time: Cargo, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 2 times: Cargo, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 10 times: Cargo, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 3 times: Cargo, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 5 times: Cargo, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 11 times: Cargo, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 7 times: Cargo, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 7/888% | 6/875% | 19/6728% | 92%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 48¢ Kalshi |
| Headwind | 4 times: Headwind, Q2’24 Jul '24, counts as said | 0 times: Headwind, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 1 time: Headwind, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 1 time: Headwind, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 2 times: Headwind, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 4 times: Headwind, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 5 times: Headwind, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 6 times: Headwind, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 7/888% | 5/862% | 44/6766% | 89%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 48¢ Kalshi |
| Atmos | 0 times: Atmos, Q2’24 Jul '24 | 0 times: Atmos, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Atmos, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Atmos, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 8 times: Atmos, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 10 times: Atmos, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 7 times: Atmos, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 2 times: Atmos, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 4/850% | 3/838% | 4/676% | 88%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 91¢ Kalshi |
| Boeing | 4 times: Boeing, Q2’24 Jul '24, counts as said | 2 times: Boeing, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 2 times: Boeing, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 4 times: Boeing, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 3 times: Boeing, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 1 time: Boeing, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 2 times: Boeing, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 1 time: Boeing, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | falling | 8/8100% | 7/888% | 57/6785% | 86%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 88¢ Kalshi |
| Amazon | 0 times: Amazon, Q2’24 Jul '24 | 2 times: Amazon, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 1 time: Amazon, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 3 times: Amazon, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 1 time: Amazon, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 4 times: Amazon, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 1 time: Amazon, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 2 times: Amazon, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 7/888% | 5/862% | 11/6716% | 83%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 48¢ Kalshi |
| Oneworld | 6 times: Oneworld, Q2’24 Jul '24, counts as said | 1 time: Oneworld, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 0 times: Oneworld, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 1 time: Oneworld, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 1 time: Oneworld, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 4 times: Oneworld, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 1 time: Oneworld, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 2 times: Oneworld, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | falling | 7/888% | 4/850% | 19/6728% | 83%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 91¢ Kalshi |
| Starlink | 0 times: Starlink, Q2’24 Jul '24 | 0 times: Starlink, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Starlink, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Starlink, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 3 times: Starlink, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 3 times: Starlink, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 4 times: Starlink, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 2 times: Starlink, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 4/850% | 3/838% | 4/676% | 82%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 47¢ Kalshi |
| Oil / Gas / Gasoline | 0 times: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Q2’24 Jul '24 | 1 time: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 0 times: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 1 time: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 0 times: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 1 time: Oil / Gas / Gasoline, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | steady | 3/838% | 0/80% | 32/6748% | 54%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 78¢ Kalshi |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | 0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q2’24 Jul '24 | 0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 2 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 1 time: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 0 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 2 times: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 3/838% | 1/812% | 5/677% | 49%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 80¢ Kalshi |
| Premium Reserve | 0 times: Premium Reserve, Q2’24 Jul '24 | 0 times: Premium Reserve, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Premium Reserve, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Premium Reserve, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Premium Reserve, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: Premium Reserve, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Premium Reserve, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 1 time: Premium Reserve, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 1/812% | 0/80% | 1/671% | 41%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 82¢ Kalshi |
| Tailwind | 2 times: Tailwind, Q2’24 Jul '24, counts as said | 1 time: Tailwind, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 1 time: Tailwind, Q1’25 Apr '25, counts as said | 1 time: Tailwind, Q2’25 Jul '25, counts as said | 0 times: Tailwind, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: Tailwind, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 1 time: Tailwind, Q2’26 Jul '26, counts as said | 0 times: Tailwind, Q3’26 Oct '26 | falling | 5/862% | 1/812% | 28/6742% | 32%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 12¢ Kalshi |
| Tariff | 0 times: Tariff, Q2’24 Jul '24 | 0 times: Tariff, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Tariff, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Tariff, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Tariff, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: Tariff, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Tariff, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 1 time: Tariff, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | rising | 1/812% | 0/80% | 1/671% | 32%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts | 82¢ Kalshi |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 22, 2026 22:11 UTC.
Every word
1–7 of 7, most settled first| Word | Q2’24Jul '24 | Q4’24Jan '25 | Q1’25Apr '25 | Q2’25Jul '25 | Q4’25Jan '26 | Q1’26Apr '26 | Q2’26Jul '26 | Q3’26last call | Trend | Last 8 | Scripted | All-time | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iceland | 0 times: Iceland, Q2’24 Jul '24 | 0 times: Iceland, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Iceland, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Iceland, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 1 time: Iceland, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 0 times: Iceland, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Iceland, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Iceland, Q3’26 Oct '26 | steady | 1/812% | 1/812% | 3/674% | 17%n=3+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Oil | 0 times: Oil, Q2’24 Jul '24 | 1 time: Oil, Q4’24 Jan '25, counts as said | 0 times: Oil, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Oil, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Oil, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 1 time: Oil, Q1’26 Apr '26, counts as said | 0 times: Oil, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 1 time: Oil, Q3’26 Oct '26, counts as said | steady | 3/838% | 0/80% | 32/6748% | 43%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Iran / Middle Eastnever said | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q2’24 Jul '24 | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Iran / Middle East, Q3’26 Oct '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/670% | 11%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| New Zealandnever said | 0 times: New Zealand, Q2’24 Jul '24 | 0 times: New Zealand, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: New Zealand, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: New Zealand, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: New Zealand, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: New Zealand, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: New Zealand, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: New Zealand, Q3’26 Oct '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/670% | 11%n=2+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Coachellanever said | 0 times: Coachella, Q2’24 Jul '24 | 0 times: Coachella, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Coachella, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Coachella, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Coachella, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: Coachella, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Coachella, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Coachella, Q3’26 Oct '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/670% | 12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Irannever said | 0 times: Iran, Q2’24 Jul '24 | 0 times: Iran, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Iran, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Iran, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 0 times: Iran, Q4’25 Jan '26 | 0 times: Iran, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Iran, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Iran, Q3’26 Oct '26 | steady | 0/80% | 0/80% | 0/670% | 12%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
| Shutdown / Shut Down | 0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q2’24 Jul '24 | 0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q4’24 Jan '25 | 0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q1’25 Apr '25 | 0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q2’25 Jul '25 | 7 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q4’25 Jan '26, counts as said | 0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q1’26 Apr '26 | 0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q2’26 Jul '26 | 0 times: Shutdown / Shut Down, Q3’26 Oct '26 | rising | 1/812% | 1/812% | 4/676% | 41%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts |
- times said on that call
- counted as said (ring)
- no call
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Trend
- how the count moved over these calls
- Scripted
- calls of the last 8 where it was said in the prepared remarks
- All-time
- every call on file
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 12Our transcript counts matched how 40 of 41 settled words resolved (97.6%). How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 15 | 11 yes · 4 no | 15/15 (100%) |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 13 | 7 yes · 6 no | 13/13 (100%) |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Earnings call FY26 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 13 | 6 yes · 7 no | 12/13 (92%) |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Earnings call FY25 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Jul 24, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Apr 24, 2025 | Earnings call FY25 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Jan 23, 2025 | Earnings call FY24 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Jul 18, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Apr 18, 2024 | Earnings call FY24 Q1 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Jan 25, 2024 | Earnings call FY23 Q4 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Oct 19, 2023 | Earnings call FY23 Q3 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
| Jul 25, 2023 | Earnings call FY23 Q2 | Speaker-labelled transcript | 0 | – | – |
Citeparrot.markets, “Alaska Air (ALK): earnings call word history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/ALK (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/alaska-air · words: /api/v1/history?entity=alaska-air · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP