Will Alaska Air say “Headwind”?
Alaska Air said “Headwind” 6 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 4, 0, 1, 1, 2, 4, 5, 6 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Alaska Air said “Headwind” on 3 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 21, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 89% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 3 times
- Counts
- company speakers + operator
- Market
- 47¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Alaska Air
Headwind
- Probability
- 89% · n=3
- Settled
- 3/3 (100%)
- Last calls
- said in 7 of 8
Next listing counts: company speakers + operator
Counts: company speakers + operator
6 counted (5 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.
…matures, we see a clear opportunity to improve performance. A continued two-point headwind from Hawaii, excluding where we undertook double-digit capacity growth, which is included…
Although the strength of that card product launch creates a year-over-year headwind for us in the fourth quarter, we still anticipate strong annual program cash…
Counts: company speakers + operator
5 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 2 in Q&A); 4 by speakers the rule does not count.
…accomplished this quarter. While there was no way around the overwhelming fuel headwind, we saw an extremely positive earnings trajectory throughout the quarter that only…
…plan is working. Even against a volatile backdrop and an outsized fuel headwind, we made real progress on every front that matters, building a business…
Counts: company speakers + operator
4 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A); 4 by speakers the rule does not count.
…first quarter was resilient despite the volatile macro backdrop and material demand headwinds uniquely impacting our spring break revenue given our network. Specifically, we experienced…
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How many times did Alaska Air say “Headwind” on its last earnings call?
- Alaska Air said “Headwind” 6 times on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 7 of its last 8 calls: 4, 0, 1, 1, 2, 4, 5, 6 times.
- How often does Alaska Air say “Headwind”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Alaska Air said “Headwind” on 3 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 21, 2026 (100%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Alaska Air says “Headwind” next time?
- 89%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.
Cite parrot.markets, “Alaska Air: ‘Headwind’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/ALK/words/headwind (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=alaska-air&word=headwind · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=alaska-air&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP