Will Alaska Air say “Tariff”?

Alaska Air said “Tariff” 1 time on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Alaska Air said “Tariff” on 1 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 21, 2026 (33%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 32% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

32%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=3Next: Earnings call, Jan 22, 2027 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no yes
Streak
said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
82¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Alaska Air

Tariff

Probability
32% · n=3
Settled
1/3 (33%)
Last calls
said in 1 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 21, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Ben MinicuccicompanyqaIn transcript

…more resilient to not only oil shocks, but other economic shocks like tariffs. The investments we're doing in premium and international and the loyalty benefits…

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 22, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 21, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 23, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 24, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 24, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 23, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q2 earnings call, Jul 18, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 21, 2026TariffKalshiYes1
Jul 22, 2026TariffKalshiNo0
Apr 21, 2026TariffKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did Alaska Air say “Tariff” on its last earnings call?
Alaska Air said “Tariff” 1 time on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 1 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1 times.
How often does Alaska Air say “Tariff”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Alaska Air said “Tariff” on 1 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 21, 2026 (33%), most recently on Oct 21, 2026.
What is the probability Alaska Air says “Tariff” next time?
32%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Alaska Air: ‘Tariff’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/ALK/words/tariff (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=alaska-air&word=tariff · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=alaska-air&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP