Will Alaska Air say “Tailwind”?

Alaska Air did not say “Tailwind” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 5 of its last 8 calls: 2, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 1, 0 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Alaska Air said “Tailwind” on 1 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 21, 2026 (33%), most recently on Jul 22, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 32% (n=3, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

32%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=3Next: Earnings call, Jan 22, 2027 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
12¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Alaska Air

Tailwind

Probability
32% · n=3
Settled
1/3 (33%)
Last calls
said in 5 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 21, 2026 · not said

Open the appearance

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 22, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 2 by speakers the rule does not count.

Shane TackettcompanyqaIn transcript

…really start to come in, we'll get a little bit of a tailwind from just gauge over the next couple of years. I won't go…

Conor CunninghamanalystqaIn transcript

…Just there is a lot of opportunity. Just from the synergies, the tailwinds that you had just from Hawaii there. When we think about next…

Not counted under this market’s speaker rule.

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 21, 2026 · not said

Open the appearance

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 23, 2026 · not said

Open the appearance

FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 24, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Benito MinicuccicompanyqaIn transcript

…into the fourth quarter, we believe that we're going to have more tailwinds than we did last year. If you add synergies on top of…

FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 24, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Ryan St. JohncompanyqaIn transcript

…annualized in 2026. So I do think we'll have a pretty good tailwind on at least the cost synergies side next year, which will obviously…

FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 23, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

Open the appearance

FY24 Q2 earnings call, Jul 18, 2024 · said 2 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 3 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Oct 21, 2026TailwindKalshiNo0
Jul 22, 2026TailwindKalshiYes1
Apr 21, 2026TailwindKalshiNo0

Questions

How many times did Alaska Air say “Tailwind” on its last earnings call?
Alaska Air did not say “Tailwind” on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3); it said it on 5 of its last 8 calls: 2, 1, 1, 1, 0, 0, 1, 0 times.
How often does Alaska Air say “Tailwind”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Alaska Air said “Tailwind” on 1 of 3 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 21, 2026 (33%), most recently on Jul 22, 2026.
What is the probability Alaska Air says “Tailwind” next time?
32%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Alaska Air: ‘Tailwind’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/ALK/words/tailwind (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=alaska-air&word=tailwind · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=alaska-air&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP