Will Alaska Air say “Oil”?

Alaska Air said “Oil” 1 time on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 1 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Alaska Air said “Oil” on 1 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 21, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 43% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

43%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=2Next: Earnings call, Jan 22, 2027 · counts: company speakers + operator
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
company speakers + operator
Market
78¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Alaska Air

Oil

Probability
43% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)
Last calls
said in 3 of 8

Next listing counts: company speakers + operator

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Oct 21, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Ben MinicuccicompanyqaIn transcript

…strategy to allow the company to be more resilient to not only oil shocks, but other economic shocks like tariffs. The investments we're doing in…

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Jul 22, 2026 · not said

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FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 21, 2026 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Shane R. TackettcompanyqaIn transcript

…as I can. We obviously are not the absolute expert on global oil supplies or refineries. We do understand our markets really well and our…

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Jan 23, 2026 · not said

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 24, 2025 · not said

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Apr 24, 2025 · not said

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Jan 23, 2025 · said 1 time (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

1 counted (0 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A).

Shane TackettcompanyqaIn transcript

…of the time relative to West Coast or Gulf Coast. So anyhow, oil has gone up a bit in the last 10 days. I think…

FY24 Q2 earnings call, Jul 18, 2024 · not said

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Jul 22, 2026OilKalshiNo0
Apr 21, 2026OilKalshiYes1

Questions

How many times did Alaska Air say “Oil” on its last earnings call?
Alaska Air said “Oil” 1 time on its Oct 21, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 3 of its last 8 calls: 0, 1, 0, 0, 0, 1, 0, 1 times.
How often does Alaska Air say “Oil”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Alaska Air said “Oil” on 1 of 2 calls with a settled Kalshi mention market since Apr 21, 2026 (50%), most recently on Apr 21, 2026.
What is the probability Alaska Air says “Oil” next time?
43%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: company speakers + operator.

Cite parrot.markets, “Alaska Air: ‘Oil’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/ALK/words/oil (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=alaska-air&word=oil · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=alaska-air&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP