Alaska Air (ALK): FY26 Q1 earnings call, Apr 21, 2026

On its Apr 21, 2026 earnings call (FY26 Q1), Alaska Air said 6 of the 13 words Kalshi listed; Parrot’s count agreed with 12 of 13 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

13 words · 6 settled yes · our count agreed on 12 of 13

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
Amazon Yes45✓68%transcripts from the transcript model–
Headwind Yes48✓66%transcripts from the transcript model–
Oneworld Yes44✓56%transcripts from the transcript model–
Starlink Yes33✓44%transcripts from the transcript model–
Boeing Yes11✓83%transcripts from the transcript model–
Oil Yes11✓30%transcripts from the transcript model–
AI / Artificial Intelligence No11✗35%transcripts from the transcript model–
Shutdown / Shut Down No00✓56%transcripts from the transcript model–
Tailwind No00✓50%transcripts from the transcript model–
Iceland No00✓34%transcripts from the transcript model–
Coachella No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–
Iran No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–
Tariff No00✓16%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

Where the listed words were said

Benito Minicuccicompany“Amazon” · prepared

…in our business. We're also pleased to have reached an agreement with Amazon that eliminates losses under the legacy Hawaiian terms and creates mutual value…

Andrew R. Harrisoncompany“Headwind” · prepared

…first quarter was resilient despite the volatile macro backdrop and material demand headwinds uniquely impacting our spring break revenue given our network. Specifically, we experienced…

Benito Minicuccicompany“Oneworld” · prepared

…entire fleet. Along with the PSS cutover, Hawaiian Airlines has officially joined oneworld, expanding benefits for our loyal guests in Hawaii, attracting new oneworld guests…

Benito Minicuccicompany“Starlink” · prepared

…higher premium revenue. Our entire regional fleet is now retrofitted with free Starlink Wi-Fi and Boeing 737 installations are underway, further enhancing our end-to-end guest…

Shane R. Tackettcompany“Oil” · qa

…as I can. We obviously are not the absolute expert on global oil supplies or refineries. We do understand our markets really well and our…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/alaska-air:2026-04-21:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=alaska-air:2026-04-21:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP