Face the Nation (CBS), January 11, 2026
On the Jan 11, 2026 episode of Face the Nation, 1 of the 14 words Kalshi listed were said; Parrot’s count agreed with all 14 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
Updated
Markets
14 words · 1 settled yes · our count agreed on 14 of 14- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ICE / National Guard | Yes | 2 | 12 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Affordable / Affordability | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Brother | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Corrupt / Corruption | No | 0 | 3 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Daycare / Day Care | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Healthcare / Welfare | No | 0 | 3 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | No | 0 | 2 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Maduro / Venezuela | No | 0 | 40 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Racist / Racism | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Republican | No | 0 | 9 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Shirley | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | 0 | 31 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Walz | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| YouTube / YouTuber | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 23:45 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsOfficial transcript · CBS News, Face the Nation transcript · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full text is at the source.
1 match for “Walz”; 1 quoted, at least 25 words apart.
But Governor Walz did choose to not run for reelection. He dropped out of the race because of all of this.
Where the listed words were said
…and transparency that we need. What we have seen in Minneapolis is ICE agents oftentimes jumping out of their cars. These are unmarked cars. Oftentimes,…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/face-the-nation:2026-01-11:tv_episode · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=face-the-nation:2026-01-11:tv_episode · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP