Ilhan Omar
As of Oct 23, 2026, Kalshi has settled 26 word markets on Ilhan Omar’s appearances since 2026, on 23 different words.
History Wall
1–23 of 23, most settled first| Word | Jan 12episode | Jul 20latest | Last 2 | Settled | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump | 0 times: Trump, Jan 12 episode | Settled yes: Trump, Jul 20 rally | 1/250% | 1/250% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Corrupt / Corruption | 0 times: Corrupt / Corruption, Jan 12 episode | Settled no: Corrupt / Corruption, Jul 20 rally | 0/20% | 0/20% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Republican | 0 times: Republican, Jan 12 episode | Settled no: Republican, Jul 20 rally | 0/20% | 0/20% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Afford / Affordable / Affordability | Not listed: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jan 12 episode | Settled yes: Afford / Affordable / Affordability, Jul 20 rally | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Election | Not listed: Election, Jan 12 episode | Settled yes: Election, Jul 20 rally | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Healthcare | Not listed: Healthcare, Jan 12 episode | Settled yes: Healthcare, Jul 20 rally | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| ICE | Not listed: ICE, Jan 12 episode | Settled yes: ICE, Jul 20 rally | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| ICE / National Guard | 2 times: ICE / National Guard, Jan 12 episode, counts as said | Not listed: ICE / National Guard, Jul 20 rally | 1/1100% | 1/1100% | – |
| Abdul / El-Sayed | Not listed: Abdul / El-Sayed, Jan 12 episode | Settled no: Abdul / El-Sayed, Jul 20 rally | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Affordable / Affordability | 0 times: Affordable / Affordability, Jan 12 episode | Not listed: Affordable / Affordability, Jul 20 rally | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Not listed: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jan 12 episode | Settled no: AI / Artificial Intelligence, Jul 20 rally | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Ballroom / Pool | Not listed: Ballroom / Pool, Jan 12 episode | Settled no: Ballroom / Pool, Jul 20 rally | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Brother | 0 times: Brother, Jan 12 episode | Not listed: Brother, Jul 20 rally | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Daycare / Day Care | 0 times: Daycare / Day Care, Jan 12 episode | Not listed: Daycare / Day Care, Jul 20 rally | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Healthcare / Welfare | 0 times: Healthcare / Welfare, Jan 12 episode | Not listed: Healthcare / Welfare, Jul 20 rally | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Immigrant / Immigration | 0 times: Immigrant / Immigration, Jan 12 episode | Not listed: Immigrant / Immigration, Jul 20 rally | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Iran / Israel | Not listed: Iran / Israel, Jan 12 episode | Settled no: Iran / Israel, Jul 20 rally | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Maduro / Venezuela | 0 times: Maduro / Venezuela, Jan 12 episode | Not listed: Maduro / Venezuela, Jul 20 rally | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Racist / Racism | 0 times: Racist / Racism, Jan 12 episode | Not listed: Racist / Racism, Jul 20 rally | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Shirley | 0 times: Shirley, Jan 12 episode | Not listed: Shirley, Jul 20 rally | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| Somali / Somalia / Somalian | Not listed: Somali / Somalia / Somalian, Jan 12 episode | Settled no: Somali / Somalia / Somalian, Jul 20 rally | 0/10% | 0/10% | –n=1 too little history for a probability |
| Walz | 0 times: Walz, Jan 12 episode | Not listed: Walz, Jul 20 rally | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
| YouTube / YouTuber | 0 times: YouTube / YouTuber, Jan 12 episode | Not listed: YouTube / YouTuber, Jul 20 rally | 0/10% | 0/10% | – |
- Y: settled yes (a number: our count)
- N: settled no
- not listed
- probability next time, with n
- Select a word or a cell for its quotes
What the columns mean
- Last N
- of the appearances shown, how many counted as said
- Settled
- every settled market of the word: said / listed
- Probability
- the calibrated probability for the next listing; n is the settled observations behind it when it was computed, '+tx' adds the transcripts, 'new' means too little history
Appearances and settled record
latest 2Settled results come from the venues. Our own transcript counts appear here once transcripts arrive for these appearances. How we check.
| Date | Appearance | Text | Words | Settled | Our count agreed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2026 | RallyWhat will Ilhan Omar say during The Many Over the Money Rally? | no transcript | 13 | 5 yes · 8 no | – |
| Jan 12, 2026 | EpisodeWhat will Ilhan Omar say on Face the Nation? | Official transcript | 14 | 1 yes · 13 no | 14/14 (100%) |
Citeparrot.markets, “Ilhan Omar: mention market word history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/politics/ilhan-omar (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/entity/ilhan-omar · words: /api/v1/history?entity=ilhan-omar · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP