Will “Immigrant / Immigration” be said on Face the Nation next time?
As of Oct 27, 2026, “Immigrant / Immigration” was said on Face the Nation in 1 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 12, 2026 (33%), most recently on Feb 8, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 38% (n=3, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 1/3Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Face the Nation
Immigrant / Immigration
- Probability
- 38% · n=3
- Settled
- 1/3 (33%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
They want to eliminate Immigrations and Customs Enforcement, open the border. They want to open the prisons, put these people into our communities. They want…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…what he wants to cut is aid to NGOs who support illegal immigration. And he also wants to cut some money that the bureaucracy has…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…You have been speaking for months about your concerns regarding President Trump's immigration policies. But in this ad you put out, you're more direct. You…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…in the Rio Grande Valley support Border Patrol. They support restrictions on immigration. They don't like what's happening with ICE, and they especially aren't happy…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
…us who are – who are fighting hard to expand the Special Immigrant Visa program to what it used to be before the Trump administration…
Not counted under the market’s speaker rule.
Every settled listing
newest first · 3 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Immigrant / Immigration |  Kalshi | No | 0 |
| Feb 9, 2026 | Immigrant / Immigration | Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
| Jan 12, 2026 | Immigrant / Immigration | Kalshi | No | 0 |
Questions
- How often is “Immigrant / Immigration” said on Face the Nation?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, “Immigrant / Immigration” was said on Face the Nation in 1 of 3 episodes with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 12, 2026 (33%), most recently on Feb 8, 2026.
- What is the probability “Immigrant / Immigration” is said on Face the Nation next time?
- 38%, from settlement history (n=3). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Face the Nation: ‘Immigrant / Immigration’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/news/face-the-nation/words/immigrant-or-immigration (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=face-the-nation&word=immigrant%20%2F%20immigration · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=face-the-nation&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP