Apple Event, Sep 9, 2025
At the keynote on Sep 9, 2025, Apple said 9 of the 30 words Kalshi and Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with 28 of 30 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.
Updated
Markets
30 words · 9 settled yes · our count agreed on 28 of 30- Kalshi: named speaker only
Kalshi - Polymarket: anyone
Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Our count | All speakers | Agrees | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| iPhone 100+ times | Yes | 135 | 135 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| iPhone 50+ times | Yes | 135 | 135 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Apple 50+ times | Yes | 78 | 78 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Camera 5+ times | Yes | 58 | 58 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Battery 5+ times | Yes | 34 | 34 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Million / Billion / Trillion 7+ times | Yes | 7 | 7 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Airpods Pro | Yes | 4 | 21 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Next Generation | Yes | 4 | 4 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Heart Rate | Yes | 1 | 7 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Chip | No | 2 | 9 | ✗ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Airtag | No | 1 | 1 | ✗ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| China | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 57%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| F1 / Formula 1 | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| India | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Macbook | No | 0 | 1 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Tariff | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | 47%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Accessory | No | 0 | 3 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Apple Card | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Apple TV | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Apple Watch SE | No | 0 | 5 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Artificial Intelligence | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Awe Dropping | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Carplay | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Inflation | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| IOS 26 | No | 0 | 3 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| iPhone 17 Air | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| M5 | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Revolutionary | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Steve Jobs | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | No | 0 | 0 | ✓ | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
quotes of at most 25 wordsCaptions · machine-attributed · Apple (YouTube) · Source · Quotes of at most 25 words; the full recording is on the publisher's official channel.
Where the listed words were said
…ways your Apple Watch keeps you healthy, active, and connected to how iPhone helps you with so many things throughout your day. It's also true…
…AirPods and Apple Watch, and we're taking the biggest leap ever for iPhone. Let's start with AirPods. AirPods are the best and most popular headphones…
& Manchester Collective ♪ Good morning! Welcome to Apple Park! At Apple, design has always been fundamental to who we are and what we do.…
…plateau. Precisely machined from both sides, it's sculpted to fit our custom-made cameras, chips, and key system modules. We then dedicated every last bit of…
…unibody. A light, thermally efficient and rigid enclosure. Designed for the biggest battery in any iPhone. The full-width camera plateau elegantly integrates the antenna and…
…to an entirely new level. Next, let's turn to Apple Watch. For millions it's an indispensable daily companion, a fitness coach, message center, mobile wallet…
…amazing sound quality to working seamlessly across your Apple products. Last fall, AirPods Pro took this even further with the world's first end-to-end hearing health…
…extending our leadership in world-class audio quality, with the introduction of the next-generation of AirPods Pro. ♪ "BLUH BLUH BLUH" by _BY.ALEXANDER ♪ With breakthrough…
…on your wrist. It provides Fall Detection and Crash Detection, monitors your heart rate, tracks your sleep, is your life line in emergencies and so…
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/apple:2025-09-09:keynote · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=apple:2025-09-09:keynote · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP