Will Apple say “M5”?

Apple said “M5” 3 times on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 8, 4, 4, 3 times. As of Oct 24, 2026, Apple did not say “M5” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 9, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 13% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

13%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=2counts: anyone
Last 10
0/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
anyone
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Apple

M5

Probability
13% · n=2
Settled
0/2 (0%)
Last 2 keynotes
said in 0 of 2

Next listing counts: anyone

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 · said 3 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

3 counted (3 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Tim Cookcompanyprepared · 7:54Hear it 7:48, Tim Cook In transcript

…popular laptop, continues to deliver the portability and performance customers love with M5. MacBook Pro, powered by M5 Pro and M5 Max, remains a go-to…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Apr 30, 2026 · said 4 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

4 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Timothy Cookcompanyprepared · 11:00Hear it 10:54, Timothy Cook In transcript

…also further improved MacBook Air, already the world's most popular laptop with M5, making everyday tasks faster and more responsive than ever. MacBook Pro reaches…

Kevan Parekhcompanyprepared · 24:35Hear it 24:29, Kevan Parekh In transcript

…year-over-year, driven by the continued strength of the A16-powered iPad and the M5-powered iPad Pro. The iPad installed base reached a new all-time high as…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Jan 29, 2026 · said 4 times (counts)

Open the appearance

Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

4 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Timothy D. CookcompanypreparedIn transcript

…of customers who purchased a Mac being new to the product. The M5-powered 14-inch MacBook Pro takes a huge leap in AI performance thanks to…

Timothy D. CookcompanypreparedIn transcript

…popular, to iPad Air with its amazing versatility, to the unbelievably powerful M5 iPad Pro with its remarkably thin and light design. It's no wonder…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Oct 30, 2025 · said 8 times (counts)

Open the appearance

FY25 Q3 earnings call, Jul 31, 2025 · not said

Open the appearance

FY25 Q2 earnings call, May 1, 2025 · not said

Open the appearance

FY25 Q1 earnings call, Jan 30, 2025 · not said

Open the appearance

FY24 Q4 earnings call, Oct 31, 2024 · not said

Open the appearance

Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Mar 4, 2026M5PolymarketNo–
Sep 9, 2025M5PolymarketNo0

Questions

How many times did Apple say “M5” on its last earnings call?
Apple said “M5” 3 times on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on 4 of its last 8 calls: 0, 0, 0, 0, 8, 4, 4, 3 times.
How often does Apple say “M5”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Apple did not say “M5” at any of the 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Sep 9, 2025.
What is the probability Apple says “M5” next time?
13%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: anyone.

Cite parrot.markets, “Apple: ‘M5’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AAPL/words/m5 (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=apple&word=m5 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=apple&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP