Will Apple say “Macbook”?

Apple said “Macbook” 15 times on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 3, 7, 4, 6, 9, 5, 16, 15 times. As of Oct 23, 2026, Apple said “Macbook” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 1, 2025 (50%), most recently on May 1, 2025. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 23% (n=2, from settlement history blended with transcripts), not a forecast.

23%from settlement history blended with transcripts · n=2counts: named speaker only
Last 10
1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Apple

Macbook

Probability
23% · n=2
Settled
1/2 (50%)
Last 2 keynotes
said in 0 of 2

Next listing counts: named speaker only

FY26 Q3 earnings call, Jul 30, 2026 · said 15 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

15 counted (15 in prepared remarks, 0 in Q&A).

Tim Cookcompanyprepared · 6:21Hear it 6:15, Tim Cook In transcript

…growth was driven by the incredible strength of our latest lineup with MacBook Pro and the all-new MacBook Neo. According to IDC, we gained share…

Tim Cookcompanyprepared · 7:31Hear it 7:31, Tim Cook In transcript

…models locally. Across the lineup, customers continue to embrace the Mac family. MacBook Neo has been especially popular with its distinctive design and excellent value…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q2 earnings call, Apr 30, 2026 · said 16 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

16 counted (12 in prepared remarks, 4 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Timothy Cookcompanyprepared · 7:13Hear it 7:09, Timothy Cook In transcript

…iPad and Mac. Through an unforgettable week of innovation, we also unveiled MacBook Neo, giving us an opportunity to bring the power of Mac to…

Timothy Cookcompanyprepared · 10:17Hear it 10:15, Timothy Cook In transcript

…IDC, we gained market share in the quarter. From Mac Mini to MacBook Pro and everything in between, Mac is the best platform for AI…

Every match in the transcript

FY26 Q1 earnings call, Jan 29, 2026 · said 5 times (counts)

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Counts: company speakers + operator (not listed here; the usual rule)

5 counted (4 in prepared remarks, 1 in Q&A); 1 by speakers the rule does not count.

Timothy D. CookcompanypreparedIn transcript

…who purchased a Mac being new to the product. The M5-powered 14-inch MacBook Pro takes a huge leap in AI performance thanks to the next-generation…

Every match in the transcript

FY25 Q4 earnings call, Oct 30, 2025 · said 9 times (counts)

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FY25 Q3 earnings call, Jul 31, 2025 · said 6 times (counts)

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FY25 Q2 earnings call, May 1, 2025 · said 4 times (counts)

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FY25 Q1 earnings call, Jan 30, 2025 · said 7 times (counts)

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FY24 Q4 earnings call, Oct 31, 2024 · said 3 times (counts)

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Every settled listing

newest first · 2 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResultOur count
Sep 9, 2025MacbookKalshiNo0
May 1, 2025MacBookKalshiYes4

Questions

How many times did Apple say “Macbook” on its last earnings call?
Apple said “Macbook” 15 times on its Jul 30, 2026 call (FY26 Q3), and on each of its last 8 calls: 3, 7, 4, 6, 9, 5, 16, 15 times.
How often does Apple say “Macbook”?
As of Oct 23, 2026, Apple said “Macbook” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since May 1, 2025 (50%), most recently on May 1, 2025.
What is the probability Apple says “Macbook” next time?
23%, from settlement history blended with transcripts (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Apple: ‘Macbook’ mention history”, as of Oct 23, 2026, https://parrot.markets/earnings/AAPL/words/macbook (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=apple&word=macbook · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=apple&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP