Apple (AAPL): FY25 Q3 earnings call, Jul 31, 2025

Thu, Jul 31Earnings callSpeaker-labelled transcriptApple

On its Jul 31, 2025 earnings call (FY25 Q3), Apple said 17 of the 22 words Kalshi and Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 22 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

22 words · 17 settled yes · our count agreed on 22 of 22

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
iPhone Yes3339✓96%transcripts from the transcript model–
Mac Yes2425✓95%transcripts from the transcript model–
Tariff Yes1722✓66%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Service Yes1621✓97%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
iPad Yes1515✓95%transcripts from the transcript model–
China Yes1215✓92%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Intelligence Yes910✓93%transcripts from the transcript model–
Manufacturing Yes33✓66%transcripts from the transcript model–
Vision Yes25✓90%transcripts from the transcript model–
Wearable Yes22✓85%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Siri Yes24✓61%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
WWDC Yes12✓58%transcripts from the transcript model–
Severance Yes11✓49%transcripts from the transcript model–
Formula 1 / F1 Yes11✓46%transcripts from the transcript model–
iCloud Yes11✓36%transcripts from the transcript model–
Regulation / regulator / regulatory Yes11✓27%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Streaming Yes11✓15%transcripts from the transcript model–
M3 No00✓61%transcripts from the transcript model–
Sleep apnea No00✓38%transcripts from the transcript model–
Modem No00✓37%transcripts from the transcript model–
Creator No00✓33%transcripts from the transcript model–
Hedge No00✓28%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

44 matches for “Apple”; 5 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Suhasini Chandramoulicompanyprepared

Good afternoon, and welcome to the Apple Q3 Fiscal Year 2025 Earnings Conference Call. My name is Suhasini Chandramouli, Director of Investor Relations. Today's call…

Suhasini Chandramoulicompanyprepared

…proceedings. For more information, please refer to the risk factors discussed in Apple's most recently filed reports on Form 10-Q and Form 10-K and the…

Suhasini Chandramoulicompanyprepared

…tomorrow and in other reports and filings we make with the SEC. Apple assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements, which speak only as…

Timothy D. Cookcompanyprepared

…joining us online and more than 1,000 developers here in person at Apple Park. We shared some truly exciting updates, including a stunning new design…

Timothy D. Cookcompanyprepared

…opened up access to the on-device foundation models at the core of Apple Intelligence, enabling developers to build a whole new experience for our users.…

Where the listed words were said

Timothy D. Cookcompany“iPhone” · prepared

…India and South Asia. These results were driven by double-digit growth across iPhone, Mac and Services. We set a June quarter record for iPhone, which…

Timothy D. Cookcompany“Mac” · prepared

…our users are able to run generative AI models right on their Mac, iPad and iPhone. We're excited about the work we're doing in this…

Timothy D. Cookcompany“Tariff” · prepared

…look for further opportunities to do even more. Finally, the situation around tariffs is evolving, so let me provide some color there. For the June…

Timothy D. Cookcompany“Service” · prepared

…alerts to irregular rhythm notifications having such a profound impact. Turning to Services. Revenue for the June quarter was $27.4 billion, up 13% from a…

Timothy D. Cookcompany“iPad” · prepared

…going to find delightful new ways to stay connected and productive. For iPad, June quarter revenue was $6.6 billion. Our incredibly versatile iPad lineup brings…

Kevan Parekhcompany“China” · prepared

…formerly of Kantar, iPhone was a top-selling model in the U.S., Urban China, the U.K., Australia and Japan during the June quarter. And we continue…

Timothy D. Cookcompany“Intelligence” · prepared

…everyone. And that's at the heart of our AI strategy. With Apple Intelligence, we're integrating AI features across our platforms in a way that is…

Timothy D. Cookcompany“Manufacturing” · prepared

…and support American industry. And in August, we're opening our all-new Apple Manufacturing Academy in Detroit to train and support American manufacturers. These investments are…

Timothy D. Cookcompany“Vision” · prepared

…both dynamic and personal. We're also thrilled about what's coming to Apple Vision Pro with visionOS 26 introducing spatial widgets that let users customize their…

Timothy D. Cookcompany“Wearable” · prepared

…beautiful new software design that brings these updates to life. Turning to Wearables, Home and Accessories. Revenue was $7.4 billion, and we saw a June…

Timothy D. Cookcompany“Siri” · qa

…Thanks for the question. We're making good progress on a more personalized Siri, and we do expect to release the features next year, as we…

Timothy D. Cookcompany“Formula 1 / F1” · prepared

…strong double digits year-over-year. In June, we were also thrilled to release F1 in theaters around the world, one of the summer's most unforgettable blockbusters.…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/apple:2025-07-31:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=apple:2025-07-31:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP