Amazon (AMZN): FY25 Q2 earnings call, Jul 31, 2025

Thu, Jul 31Earnings callSpeaker-labelled transcriptAmazon

On its Jul 31, 2025 earnings call (FY25 Q2), Amazon said 15 of the 26 words Kalshi and Polymarket listed; Parrot’s count agreed with all 26 settlements. Quotes below are at most 25 words each.

Updated

Markets

26 words · 15 settled yes · our count agreed on 26 of 26

backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.

Listed words: result, our count under the market rule, the count over every speaker, whether they agree, and the probability (a walk-forward backtest on settled rows)
WordResultOur countAll speakersAgreesProbabilityMarket
AWS / Amazon Web Services Yes3341✓97%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Delivery Yes1616✓94%transcripts from the transcript model–
Gen-AI / Gen AI / Generative AI Yes1317✓95%transcripts from the transcript model–
Advertising Yes910✓89%transcripts from the transcript model–
Tariff Yes911✓68%transcripts from the transcript model–
Alexa+ / Alexa Plus Yes89✓52%transcripts from the transcript model–
Project Kuiper Yes88✓52%transcripts from the transcript model–
Operating Margin Yes77✓88%transcripts from the transcript model–
Prime Day Yes55✓78%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Robotics Yes44✓92%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Prime Video Yes33✓85%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Emerging Country Yes22✓50%transcripts from the transcript model–
Labor Market Yes11✓71%transcripts from the transcript model–
Physical Store Yes11✓39%transcripts from the transcript model–
Subscription Yes11✓36%n=1+tx from settlement history blended with transcripts–
Grocery No00✓79%transcripts from the transcript model–
Supply Chain No00✓61%transcripts from the transcript model–
Third-Party Sellers No00✓54%transcripts from the transcript model–
Machine Learning No00✓53%transcripts from the transcript model–
Thursday Night Football No00✓39%transcripts from the transcript model–
RxPass No00✓31%transcripts from the transcript model–
Headcount No00✓22%transcripts from the transcript model–
Pharmaceutical No00✓19%transcripts from the transcript model–
Repurchase No00✓19%transcripts from the transcript model–
Warehouse No00✓19%transcripts from the transcript model–
Emission No00✓15%transcripts from the transcript model–

Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.

Transcript

quotes of at most 25 words

Speaker-labelled transcript · Source and credits · Used to count words; quotes of at most 25 words.

1 match for “Data Center”; 1 quoted, at least 25 words apart.

Brian T. Olsavskycompanyprepared

…point in time. We will continue to invest more capital in chips, data centers and power to pursue this unusually large opportunity that we have…

Where the listed words were said

Andrew R. Jassycompany“AWS / Amazon Web Services” · prepared

…relevancy for consumers and return on investment for brands. Moving on to AWS. In Q2, AWS grew 17.5% year-over-year and now has over $123 billion…

Andrew R. Jassycompany“Delivery” · prepared

…customers in our stores business are selection, low prices and speed of delivery. We've taken another step forward in selection these past few months headlined…

Andrew R. Jassycompany“Gen-AI / Gen AI / Generative AI” · prepared

…tasks, making our operations network even safer. This combination of robotics and generative AI is just getting started. And while we've made significant progress, it's…

Andrew R. Jassycompany“Advertising” · prepared

…We continue to see strength across our broad portfolio of full funnel advertising offerings that in the U.S. alone help advertisers reach an average ad-supported…

Dave Fildescompany“Tariff” · prepared

…fluctuations in foreign exchange rates, changes in global economic and geopolitical conditions, tariff and trade policies and customer demand and spending, including the impact of…

Andrew R. Jassycompany“Alexa+ / Alexa Plus” · prepared

…Amazon. I'll mention just a few. We're excited about our progress with Alexa+, our next-generation assistant powered by generative AI. We've been rolling out early…

Andrew R. Jassycompany“Project Kuiper” · qa

On the Project Kuiper question, so Project Kuiper's or low Earth orbit satellite constellation that we're putting up and launching and there's 400 million to…

Andrew R. Jassycompany“Operating Margin” · prepared

…in terms of inputs and outputs. Outputs or metrics like revenue are operating margin. But of course, you can't manage at the output level, it's…

Andrew R. Jassycompany“Prime Day” · prepared

…grew this past quarter and the success we saw in our recent Prime Day event. This year's Prime Day was our biggest ever with record…

Andrew R. Jassycompany“Robotics” · prepared

…more frequently and purchasing household essentials and meaningfully higher rates. Automation and robotics are also important contributors to improving cost efficiencies and driving better…

Andrew R. Jassycompany“Prime Video” · prepared

…enterprise and government customers who have signed agreements to use Kuiper. In Prime video live sports, our first season of NASCAR drew about 2 million…

Brian T. Olsavskycompany“Emerging Country” · qa

…selection for our customers continues to grow internationally as well. In our emerging countries, we're pleased with the progress we're making there. We've launched 8…

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/appearances/amazon:2025-07-31:earnings_call · words: /api/v1/brief?appearance=amazon:2025-07-31:earnings_call · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP