Will Vlad Tenev say “Cortex”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Vlad Tenev said “Cortex” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 9, 2025.
Of the last 3 keynotes we have transcripts for (Dec 17, 2025 – Sep 29, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Vlad Tenev
Cortex
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 3 keynotes
- said in 3 of 3
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…so interesting, too. Look at all that circuitry. Why don't we have Cortex run a scan through the historical archive? See if we can identify…
So many accounts though. I think I need Cortex to help me manage them. When's that coming? It's not this year, but maybe at
…cryptos that are already available on Robin Hood. That's where Robin Hood Cortex comes in. So, less than one year ago, when we first introduced…
We don’t have this transcript yet.
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2025 | Cortex |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Vlad Tenev say “Cortex”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Vlad Tenev said “Cortex” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 9, 2025.
- What is the probability Vlad Tenev says “Cortex” next time?
- 53%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Vlad Tenev: ‘Cortex’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/business/vlad-tenev/words/cortex (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=vlad-tenev&word=cortex · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=vlad-tenev&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP