Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy say “Ceasefire”?

As of Oct 24, 2026, Volodymyr Zelenskyy said “Ceasefire” at 3 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 24, 2025 (60%), most recently on Jul 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 26% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.

26%from settlement history only · n=5counts: named speaker only
Last 10
3/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no no
Streak
not said the last 2 times
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Ceasefire

Probability
26% · n=5
Settled
3/5 (60%)

Next listing counts: named speaker only

We don’t have transcripts for Volodymyr Zelenskyy yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.

What will Zelenskyy say during Meet the Press? · settled no

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What will Zelenskyy say during the United Nations General Assembly? · settled no

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What will Zelenskyy say during Fox News: Hannity? · settled yes

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What will Zelensky say during his meeting with Trump? · settled yes

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What will Zelenskyy say during his address to the United Nations General Assembly? · settled yes

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What will Zelenskyy say during Baier interview? · not listed

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What will Zelensky say during UN speech? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 5 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Oct 18, 2026CeasefireKalshiNo
Sep 23, 2026CeasefireKalshiNo
Jul 28, 2026CeasefireKalshiYes
Oct 18, 2025CeasefireKalshiYes
Sep 24, 2025CeasefireKalshiYes

Questions

How often does Volodymyr Zelenskyy say “Ceasefire”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Volodymyr Zelenskyy said “Ceasefire” at 3 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 24, 2025 (60%), most recently on Jul 28, 2026.
What is the probability Volodymyr Zelenskyy says “Ceasefire” next time?
26%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Volodymyr Zelenskyy: ‘Ceasefire’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/volodymyr-zelenskyy/words/ceasefire (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=volodymyr-zelenskyy&word=ceasefire · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=volodymyr-zelenskyy&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP