Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy say “Ceasefire”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, Volodymyr Zelenskyy said “Ceasefire” at 3 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 24, 2025 (60%), most recently on Jul 28, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 26% (n=5, from settlement history), not a forecast.
- Last 10
- 3/5Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes yes no no
- Streak
- not said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceVolodymyr Zelenskyy
Ceasefire
- Probability
- 26% · n=5
- Settled
- 3/5 (60%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for Volodymyr Zelenskyy yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 5 shownQuestions
- How often does Volodymyr Zelenskyy say “Ceasefire”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, Volodymyr Zelenskyy said “Ceasefire” at 3 of 5 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Sep 24, 2025 (60%), most recently on Jul 28, 2026.
- What is the probability Volodymyr Zelenskyy says “Ceasefire” next time?
- 26%, from settlement history (n=5). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Volodymyr Zelenskyy: ‘Ceasefire’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/volodymyr-zelenskyy/words/ceasefire (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=volodymyr-zelenskyy&word=ceasefire · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=volodymyr-zelenskyy&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP