Volodymyr Zelenskyy: Interview, Feb 28, 2025
Polymarket What will Zelenskyy say during Baier interview?
Markets
18 words · 6 settled yes- Polymarket: named speaker only Polymarket
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| NATO | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Peace 2+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Putin 5+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ukraine 10+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| US / United States 5+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| War 5+ times | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nuclear | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Biden 3+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Blackmail | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ceasefire 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crimea | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Donbas | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Germany | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Russia 5+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Sheets | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump 10+ times | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Vance | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 21, 2026 04:22 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=p%3Awhat-will-zelenskyy-say-during-baier-interview · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP