Volodymyr Zelenskyy: Remarks, Oct 18, 2025
Kalshi What will Zelensky say during his meeting with Trump?
Markets
12 words · 9 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Putin | Yes | 52%n=2 from settlement history | – |
| Ceasefire | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Drone | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Missile | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| NATO | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| American | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Energy | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Thank You | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Tomahawk | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fund / Funding | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Oil | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Soldier | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXZELENSKYYMENTION-25OCT18 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP