Volodymyr Zelenskyy: Speech, Sep 24, 2025
Kalshi What will Zelenskyy say during his address to the United Nations General Assembly?
Markets
20 words · 7 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Putin | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Ceasefire | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Drone | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Fund / Funding | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Missile | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Rise | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Distract / Distraction | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Eliminate | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Future | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mineral | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Mission | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nobel | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Peace Deal / Peace Treaty | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Soldier | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Truce | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Unity | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Woke | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crimea | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Donbas | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXZELENSKYYMENTION-25SEP24 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP