Will United Nations say “China”?
As of Oct 24, 2026, United Nations said “China” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 13, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jan 15, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 50% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
50%from settlement history only · n=2counts: named speaker only
- Last 10
- 1/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Updated
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
United Nations
China
- Probability
- 50% · n=2
- Settled
- 1/2 (50%)
Next listing counts: named speaker only
We don’t have transcripts for United Nations yet, so there are no quotes here: each cell shows how that market settled.
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown
KalshiQuestions
- How often does United Nations say “China”?
- As of Oct 24, 2026, United Nations said “China” at 1 of 2 occasions with a settled Kalshi mention market since Jan 13, 2026 (50%), most recently on Jan 15, 2026.
- What is the probability United Nations says “China” next time?
- 50%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “United Nations: ‘China’ mention history”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://parrot.markets/world/united-nations/words/china (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=united-nations&word=china · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=united-nations&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP