United Nations: Speech, Jan 13, 2026
Kalshi What will the US rep say during the UN Security Council?
Markets
11 words · 6 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kyiv / Kiev | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Missile / Tomahawk | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| NATO / Allies | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Nuclear | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Russia | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Trump | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ceasefire | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| China | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Drone | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Marco / Rubio | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Putin | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXUNMENTION-26JAN13 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP