United Nations: Press briefing, Jan 15, 2026
Kalshi What will the UN President say during her briefing on priorities for 2026?
Markets
13 words · 8 settled yes- Kalshi: named speaker only Kalshi
backtest The probabilities on settled rows are a walk-forward backtest: the model as of before each event, computed after Parrot went live; they were not published at the time.
| Word | Result | Probability | Market |
|---|---|---|---|
| AI / Artificial Intelligence | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Climate | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Crisis | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gaza | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Human Right | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Peace / Justice | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Ukraine | Yes | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| China | Yes | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Nuclear | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Trump | No | –n=1 too little history for a probability | – |
| Democracy | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Gender | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
| Green / Clean | No | –new new word, no probability yet | – |
Market prices are mid quotes from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for context, may be delayed by several minutes and are not a signal. Quotes as of Oct 20, 2026 15:46 UTC.
Transcript
No transcript source yet. The results above are how the venues settled the markets.
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/brief?event=k%3AKXUNMENTION-26JAN15 · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP