Will Donald Trump say “War” 6+ times?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “War” 6+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 19, 2025.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (6+, named speaker only) in 4. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
War 6+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
even have a Christmas were remember when I started the war on preserving Christmas when I was two 2016. We will proudly say Christmas again.…
…Venezuela, Nicholas Maduro, who is now awaiting trial. And we won the war in Venezuela in one day. And now we're working with them. We're…
…know, it's been through the mill. Looks like it went through the war. Actually, it did actually. So, I took the doors. I'm a big…
…of Venezuela, Nicholas Maduro, who is now awaiting. And we won the war in Venezuela. One of the I mean if you got to take…
…from American families and American businesses. I want to thank Secretary of War Pete Hegseth, Attorney General Todd Blanche -- these are great people, by…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2025 | War 6+ times |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “War 6+ times”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “War” 6+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Dec 19, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “War 6+ times” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘War 6+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/war-6plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=war%20%286%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP