Will Donald Trump say “Vote” 20+ times?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Vote” 20+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 31, 2024.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (20+, named speaker only) in 4. 3 later rallies without a transcript yet (since Oct 26, 2026) are not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearanceDonald Trump
Vote 20+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 4 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…we won it all. We got to be careful with the cheating vote counters, though. That's one thing I got to tell you. Please, will…
…unbelievable state, but we won this state two years ago with more votes than any candidate in the history of Georgia. We got the We…
…I won. You know, we won all three times with the most votes, more votes than ever gotten by any political candidate by millions. Millions…
…What the hell difference? Which I won all three times, receiving more votes than any candidate in political history. Catch it. And I want you…
…great big beautiful state which I won all three times with more votes. I don't want to say this to I don't want to say…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2024 | Vote 20+ times | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Vote 20+ times”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Vote” 20+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 31, 2024.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Vote 20+ times” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Vote 20+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/vote-20plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=vote%20%2820%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP