Will Donald Trump say “X / Twitter”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “X / Twitter” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 30, 2026.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 rallies, 3 remarks; Sep 25, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Last said
- Sep 9, 2026
- Counts
- named speaker only
- Market
- 67¢ Kalshi (may be delayed)
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
X / Twitter
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 1 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 rallies, 3 remarks); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…well. Meta has been an incredible partner to law enforcement, as has X and Elon Musk. In April, FBI and the Dubai Police announced the…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2026 | X / Twitter |  Kalshi | Yes | 2 |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “X / Twitter”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “X / Twitter” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 30, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “X / Twitter” next time?
- 63%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘X / Twitter’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/twitter-or-x (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=twitter%20%2F%20x · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP