Will Donald Trump say “Trade / Tariff” 3+ times?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Trade / Tariff” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 19, 2026.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (3+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Trade / Tariff 3+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…the golden age of America. This is the richest, the best. And tariffs. Tariffs. My favorite word, tariffs. Now it's my fifth favorite. You've heard…
…now. Gave you the highest energy prices in American history, the worst trade deficit in American history, and allowed 25 million people to invade your…
…cuz yours is going to go down. They gave us the worst trade deficit in American history. They allowed 25 million people to pour across…
…in American history, the highest energy prices in American history, the worst trade deficit in American history. They allowed 25 million people to pour across…
…the challenges that you have systemically tackled and solved, whether it's the trade deficit, where we were getting ripped off by foreign countries, whether it's…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | Trade / Tariff 3+ times |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Trade / Tariff 3+ times”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Trade / Tariff” 3+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Mar 19, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Trade / Tariff 3+ times” next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Trade / Tariff 3+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/tariff-or-trade-3plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=tariff%20%2F%20trade%20%283%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP