Will Donald Trump say “Tax / tariff” 10+ times?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Tax / tariff” 10+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Nov 17, 2025.
Of the last 4 keynotes we have transcripts for (Jun 26, 2026 – Jul 15, 2026), it reached the market's count (10+, named speaker only) in 1. 1 later keynote without a transcript yet (Oct 8, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Tax / tariff 10+
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 4 keynotes
- said in 1 of 4
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
take away everything. They'll take away all of those tax cuts, all of that crime preventions. You know, we have the safest country that we've…
…I am on the ballot essentially because all these things like no tax on tips and no tax on overtime, no tax on social security…
…more now because we're a little longer than that. Thanks to my tariffs, my favorite word, I have to tell you. But no longer. It's…
…be. It's our capital. It should be right. I signed the largest tax cuts in American history with the great big beautiful bill including no…
…really am on the ballot because we did so many things. Greatest tax cuts, the strongest border we've ever had, all these things. And it…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | Tax / tariff 10+ |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Tax / tariff 10+”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Tax / tariff” 10+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Nov 17, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Tax / tariff 10+” next time?
- 52%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Tax / tariff 10+’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/tariff-or-tax-10plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=tariff%20%2F%20tax%20%2810%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP