Will Donald Trump say “Student”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Student” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 21, 2025.
Of the last 8 remarks we have transcripts for (Sep 22, 2026 – Oct 21, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Student
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 remarks
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…today. They said we didn't like the cleanliness. I didn't see any students there. These were a lot of large men with very big muscles.…
…Horrible. Which released the savage illegal alien monsters who murdered Georgia nursing student Lake and Riley. You know all about Lake and Riley. Asso voted…
…schools. I'm looking at some of these guys, these thugs. They're not students. It's illegal immigration is what it is. It's people coming into a…
yes, these are high school." They're not high school students. They don't like the way the high schools run. Such crap. They It's immigration. It's…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2025 | Student |  Kalshi | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Student”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Student” at the only occasion with a settled Kalshi mention market so far, on Sep 21, 2025.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Student” next time?
- 42%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Student’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/student (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=student · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP