Will Donald Trump say “Steal/Stole”?

As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Steal/Stole” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Nov 15, 2024.

Of the last 6 speeches we have transcripts for (Jul 16, 2026 – Sep 22, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 1.

–too little history for a probability (n=1)
Last 10
0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
Streak
not said last time
Counts
named speaker only
Updated

Where it was said

quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance

Donald Trump

Steal/Stole

Probability
– · n=1 (too little history)
Settled
0/1 (0%)
Last 6 speeches
said in 1 of 6

Next listing counts: named speaker only

Latest quotes

from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Midterm Rally in Georgia · Oct 24, 2026 · 16:22In transcript

…Somalia don't work. Well, they don't really have to work because they steal so much. They all have a Mercedes Benz. Can you believe low…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Roundtable · Oct 21, 2026 · 1:30In transcript

…of cyber crime perpetrated by fraudsters, hackers and scammers who try to steal Americans' money, prey on senior citizens, exploit children and young people through…

Donald TrumpspeakerDonald Trump: Announcement · Oct 20, 2026 · 44:56In transcript

…And we cut off funding to hundreds of fake hospice facilities that stole an estimated $1.4 billion, and that number you can probably multiply times…

What will Trump say during his rally in Corinth, Mississippi? · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? (October 19 - October 25) · not listed

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What will Trump post this week? (October 19 - October 25) · not listed

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What will Trump say this week? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Michigan? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Georgia? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Florida? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in Iowa? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his roundtable? · not listed

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What will Trump say during his rally in South Carolina? · not listed

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Every settled listing

newest first · 1 shown
Every settled listing of this word, newest first
DateListed asVenueResult
Nov 15, 2024Steal/StolePolymarketNo

Questions

How often does Donald Trump say “Steal/Stole”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Steal/Stole” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Nov 15, 2024.
What is the probability Donald Trump says “Steal/Stole” next time?
41%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
Who has to say it for the market to count?
Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.

Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Steal/Stole’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/steal-or-stole (CC BY 4.0)

Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=steal%20%2F%20stole · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP