Will Donald Trump say “Sanctuary City”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Sanctuary City” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 26, 2024.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 5. 1 later rally without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Sanctuary City
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 5 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…immigrants to gain access. We will not allow that. We will ban sanctuary cities immediately and pass the death penalty for large-scale drug dealers, human…
…man that will keep you safe. Also voted in favor of deadly sanctuary cities. Those are cities that protect criminals. And you see the crime…
…have to defeat deranged Angie Nixon, who voted in favor of deadly sanctuary cities, and she even voted against punishing illegal aliens who vote in…
…to be honest with you. Turk also voted in favor of deadly sanctuary cities. He voted to give lavish welfare benefits to illegal aliens and…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2024 | Sanctuary City |  Polymarket | Yes |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Sanctuary City”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “Sanctuary City” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 26, 2024.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Sanctuary City” next time?
- 47%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Sanctuary City’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/sanctuary-city (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=sanctuary%20city · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP