Will Donald Trump say “Party”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Party” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jan 4, 2026.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 rallies, 3 remarks; Sep 25, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 6. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 1/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes
- Streak
- said last time
- Last said
- Jan 3, 2026
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Party
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 1/1 (100%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 6 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 rallies, 3 remarks); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…And he wants to do that. He's the face of modern Democrat party. It's the craziest thing I've ever heard. But Americans did not spend…
…speaker of the House of Representatives, James Michael Johnson, that the Democrat party has just conceded her seat. Elhan Nure say Elme, her real name,…
…let somebody please raise your hand, please. In this election, the Democrat party has nominated the most extreme anti-American radicals ever to seek office, including…
…use it. He's great. He's a great guy, too. That the Democrat party has just conceded her seat. that Elhan Nur say Elmei, her real…
…think it's made a big difference. It's made a -- the Republican Party has got tremendous spirit, tremendous spirit, tremendous love. And I'm going to…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2026 | Party |  Polymarket | Yes | – (settled yes · nothing to count yet (no known appearances yet)) |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Party”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump said “Party” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Jan 4, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Party” next time?
- 51%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Party’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/party (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=party · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP