Will Donald Trump say “Norway”?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Norway” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 24, 2026.
Of the last 8 transcripts we have, of any kind (5 rallies, 3 remarks; Sep 25, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3. 1 later appearance without a transcript yet (Oct 26, 2026) is not counted.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
Norway
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 transcripts
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have (5 rallies, 3 remarks); the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…be honest with each other, don't we? Denmark, we'll take them. Sweden, Norway. I don't think so because I didn't get the Nobel Prize even…
…people from house countries? Why can't we take people from like well Norway? Uh Sweden. Uh why not Denmark? You know, by the way, Denmark…
…through Florida? I don't think so. No, I said, "Well, you know, Norway is very liberal." And you know, the person that got the Nobel…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2026 | Norway |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “Norway”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “Norway” at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Feb 24, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “Norway” next time?
- 39%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘Norway’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/norway (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=norway · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP