Will Donald Trump say “North Carolina”?
As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “North Carolina” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Feb 24, 2026 (100%), most recently on Aug 21, 2026. Parrot’s p for the next listing is 54% (n=2, from settlement history), not a forecast.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (1+, named speaker only) in 3. 3 later rallies without a transcript yet (since Oct 26, 2026) are not counted.
- Last 10
- 2/2Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: yes yes
- Streak
- said the last 2 times
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
North Carolina
- Probability
- 54% · n=2
- Settled
- 2/2 (100%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 3 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…come into our country. They had murderers. How about this guy in North Carolina, the governor? He allowed 88 murderers out of prison because of…
…all over the place. Stand up, please. Look at this. They're from North Carolina, as you can tell by the way they're quafted and dressed.…
…funny thing because Oh, I can't forget. Where are the ladies from North Carolina? Where are you? Look at them. They follow me all over…
…when I -- when I go to North, when I go to North Carolina -- wait, wait, wait -- when I go to North Carolina…
Every settled listing
newest first · 2 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result | Our count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | North Carolina |  Polymarket | Yes | 1 |
| Feb 24, 2026 | North Carolina | Polymarket | Yes | – |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “North Carolina”?
- As of Oct 27, 2026, Donald Trump said “North Carolina” at 2 of 2 occasions with a settled Polymarket mention market since Feb 24, 2026 (100%), most recently on Aug 21, 2026.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “North Carolina” next time?
- 54%, from settlement history (n=2). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘North Carolina’ mention history”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/north-carolina (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=north%20carolina · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP