Will Donald Trump say “New York” 30+ times?
As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “New York” 30+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 27, 2024.
Of the last 8 rallies we have transcripts for (Aug 24, 2026 – Oct 25, 2026), it reached the market's count (30+, named speaker only) in 0.
- Last 10
- 0/1Last 10 settled, oldest to newest: no
- Streak
- not said last time
- Counts
- named speaker only
Where it was said
quotes of at most 25 words; select an appearance
Donald Trump
New York 30+ times
- Probability
- – · n=1 (too little history)
- Settled
- 0/1 (0%)
- Last 8 rallies
- said in 0 of 8
Next listing counts: named speaker only
Latest quotes
from the latest transcripts we have; the strip shows how each listed occasion settled.
…could say we could say that about a lot of blue cities. New York was hot as a pistol when I left. You know, when…
…to me. He said, "Sir, I want to thank you very much. New York's finest, a great guy, big strong guy." He said, "Sir, I…
…things and set things up, crooked attorney generals like we have in New York, like we have in Minnesota, like we have -- I can…
Every settled listing
newest first · 1 shown| Date | Listed as | Venue | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2024 | New York 30+ times |  Polymarket | No |
Questions
- How often does Donald Trump say “New York 30+ times”?
- As of Oct 26, 2026, Donald Trump did not say “New York” 30+ times at the only occasion with a settled Polymarket mention market so far, on Oct 27, 2024.
- What is the probability Donald Trump says “New York 30+ times” next time?
- 48%, from settlement history (n=1). It is a base rate from history, not a forecast and not advice.
- Who has to say it for the market to count?
- Under the next market's rule: named speaker only.
Cite parrot.markets, “Donald Trump: ‘New York 30+ times’ mention history”, as of Oct 26, 2026, https://parrot.markets/trump/words/new-york-30plus (CC BY 4.0)
Agents: this page as TSV at /api/v1/word?entity=donald-trump&word=new%20york%20%2830%2B%20times%29 · quotes: /api/v1/quotes?entity=donald-trump&word=… · columnar JSON in #parrot-data · llms.txt · MCP